Elina Aarnisalo
Team: North Carolina Tar Heels
Position: G
Season Averages — 2025-2026
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 36 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 26.7 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 6.7 | 47.3% | 40.4% | 76.1% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 31 games, 774.7 minutes, 2475.0 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 31 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +3.86 | 208 | 774 | 2475 | +230 | +7.4 | +11.9 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | +3.86 (#208) | SE 2.44 | Poss 2475 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | +3.86 (#208) | Off +2.25 | Def +1.61 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | +9.29 (#238) | PM/G +7.4 | PM/40 +11.9 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More → | 5.696 (#1306) | Vec (+3.70, +0.42) | Norm 3.72 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | +3.75 (#152) | Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | +2.78 (#96) | Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | +6.53 (#77) | Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More → | +1.04 (#336) | Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More → | +1.69 (#118) | Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More → | +0.28 (#935) | OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More → | +0.71 (#163) | OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More → | +1.00 (#327) | OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More → | +0.76 (#420) | DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More → | +0.98 (#180) | DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More → | +1.74 (#150) | DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More → | +2.74 (#155) | Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | +0.97 (#300) | Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | +0.94 (#163) | Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | +1.91 (#119) | Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | +0.85 (#140) | 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | +0.31 (#464) | 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | +1.16 (#98) | 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | +0.23 (#1136) | Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | +0.75 (#199) | Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | +0.98 (#377) | Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | +0.63 (#510) | TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | -0.20 (#2936) | TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | +0.43 (#1000) | TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962 |
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
147/311 FG (47.3%), 330 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 32 | 45 | 71.1 | 58.6 | +12.5 | 14.5 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 46 | 99 | 46.5 | 40.9 | +5.6 | 31.8 |
| Mid-range left | 12 | 30 | 40.0 | 32.4 | +7.6 | 9.6 |
| Mid-range center | 10 | 18 | 55.6 | 35.8 | +19.8 | 5.8 |
| Mid-range right | 11 | 27 | 40.7 | 31.8 | +8.9 | 8.7 |
| Left corner 3 | 2 | 5 | 40.0 | 33.0 | +7.0 | 1.6 |
| Right corner 3 | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | 32.6 | +0.7 | 1.0 |
| Above-break 3 left | 11 | 27 | 40.7 | 30.7 | +10.0 | 8.7 |
| Above-break 3 center | 10 | 19 | 52.6 | 30.4 | +22.2 | 6.1 |
| Above-break 3 right | 12 | 38 | 31.6 | 30.9 | +0.7 | 12.2 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 36 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | North Carolina Tar Heels | 36 | 26.7 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 6.7 | 47.3% | 40.4% | 76.1% | 55.4 | 53.4 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | UCLA Bruins | 37 | 20.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 43.7% | 27.0% | 77.4% | 51.8 | 48.8 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 36 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | @ | UConn Huskies | L | 42-63 | 35 | 1-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -5.0 | -6.8 |
| 2026-03-22 | vs | Maryland Terrapins | W | 74-66 | 39 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 11.0 | +18.7 |
| 2026-03-20 | vs | Western Illinois Lea | W | 82-51 | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | Louisville Cardinals | L | 57-65 | 40 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13.0 | +4.6 |
| 2026-03-06 | vs | Virginia Tech Hokies | W | 85-68 | 34 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15.0 | +9.9 |
| 2026-03-01 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | W | 74-69 | 38 | 7-13 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18.0 | +9.6 |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | Virginia Cavaliers | W | 82-70 | 36 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16.0 | +6.8 |
| 2026-02-22 | vs | Pittsburgh Panthers | W | 78-50 | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10.0 | +1.1 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Virginia Tech Hokies | W | 66-63 | 37 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4.0 | +6.5 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 68-72 | 36 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1.0 | +6.2 |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | SMU Mustangs | W | 94-42 | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Wake Forest Demon De | W | 84-56 | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Clemson Tigers | W | 53-44 | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | -4.9 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | NC State Wolfpack | W | 61-59 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 | -2.1 |
| 2026-01-25 | vs | Syracuse Orange | W | 77-71 | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | - |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Georgia Tech Yellow | W | 54-46 | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Florida State Semino | W | 82-55 | 24 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Miami Hurricanes | W | 73-62 | 18 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Notre Dame Fighting | L | 50-73 | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0.0 | -4.4 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Stanford Cardinal | L | 71-77 | 34 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | California Golden Be | W | 71-55 | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -7.8 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Boston College Eagle | W | 90-39 | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12.0 | +28.2 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 93-74 | 30 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15.0 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | UNC Wilmington Seaha | W | 84-34 | 17 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | - |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Louisville Cardinals | L | 66-76 | 23 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 | -13.1 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Boston University Te | W | 82-40 | 27 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10.0 | - |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Texas Longhorns | L | 64-79 | 31 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12.0 | +5.9 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Columbia Lions | W | 80-63 | 36 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9.0 | +5.4 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Kansas State Wildcat | W | 85-73 | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1.0 | +9.1 |
| 2025-11-27 | @ | South Dakota State J | W | 83-48 | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13.0 | +21.8 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | UNC Greensboro Spart | W | 94-48 | 27 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10.0 | - |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | North Carolina A&T A | W | 85-50 | 24 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8.0 | - |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Fairfield Stags | W | 82-68 | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | - |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | UCLA Bruins | L | 60-78 | 36 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2.0 | -2.9 |
| 2025-11-06 | vs | Elon Phoenix | W | 71-37 | 28 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6.0 | +17.0 |
| 2025-11-03 | vs | North Carolina Centr | W | 90-42 | 28 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7.0 | - |