Natalie Picton
Team: Sacramento State Hornets
Position: G
Season Averages — 2025-2026
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 31 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 35.8 | 13.4 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 37.0% | 31.4% | 82.5% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 26 games, 893.7 minutes, 2732.5 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 26 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.71 | 3573 | 893 | 2732 | -39 | -1.5 | -1.7 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -2.71 (#3573) | SE 2.79 | Poss 2733 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -2.71 (#3573) | Off -1.10 | Def -1.61 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | -1.43 (#3041) | PM/G -1.5 | PM/40 -1.7 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | -0.90 (#3330) | Pts For -0.90 | Prevent +1.15 | Net +0.25 | Min 980 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | +1.15 (#666) | Pts For -0.90 | Prevent +1.15 | Net +0.25 | Min 980 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | +0.25 (#2007) | Pts For -0.90 | Prevent +1.15 | Net +0.25 | Min 980 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More → | +0.31 (#1248) | Reb For +0.31 | Prevent +0.16 | Net +0.46 | Min 980 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More → | +0.16 (#1702) | Reb For +0.31 | Prevent +0.16 | Net +0.46 | Min 980 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More → | +0.22 (#1105) | OReb For +0.22 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.04 | Min 980 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More → | -0.27 (#3594) | OReb For +0.22 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.04 | Min 980 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More → | -0.04 (#2520) | OReb For +0.22 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.04 | Min 980 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More → | +0.08 (#1771) | DReb For +0.08 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +0.51 | Min 980 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More → | +0.42 (#712) | DReb For +0.08 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +0.51 | Min 980 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More → | +0.51 (#954) | DReb For +0.08 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +0.51 | Min 980 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More → | +0.46 (#1389) | Reb For +0.31 | Prevent +0.16 | Net +0.46 | Min 980 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | -0.41 (#3533) | Ast For -0.41 | Prevent +0.97 | Net +0.56 | Min 980 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | +0.97 (#149) | Ast For -0.41 | Prevent +0.97 | Net +0.56 | Min 980 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | +0.56 (#879) | Ast For -0.41 | Prevent +0.97 | Net +0.56 | Min 980 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | +0.57 (#331) | 3PM For +0.57 | Prevent +0.32 | Net +0.89 | Min 980 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | +0.32 (#450) | 3PM For +0.57 | Prevent +0.32 | Net +0.89 | Min 980 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | +0.89 (#220) | 3PM For +0.57 | Prevent +0.32 | Net +0.89 | Min 980 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | +0.17 (#1310) | Stocks For +0.17 | Prevent -0.09 | Net +0.07 | Min 980 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | -0.09 (#2843) | Stocks For +0.17 | Prevent -0.09 | Net +0.07 | Min 980 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | +0.07 (#1862) | Stocks For +0.17 | Prevent -0.09 | Net +0.07 | Min 980 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | -0.55 (#3877) | TOV For -0.55 | Prevent +0.40 | Net -0.15 | Min 980 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | +0.40 (#773) | TOV For -0.55 | Prevent +0.40 | Net -0.15 | Min 980 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | -0.15 (#2679) | TOV For -0.55 | Prevent +0.40 | Net -0.15 | Min 980 |
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
148/400 FG (37.0%), 359 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 35 | 66 | 53.0 | 58.6 | -5.6 | 16.5 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 24 | 62 | 38.7 | 40.9 | -2.2 | 15.5 |
| Mid-range left | 5 | 28 | 17.9 | 32.4 | -14.5 | 7.0 |
| Mid-range center | 9 | 16 | 56.2 | 35.8 | +20.4 | 4.0 |
| Mid-range right | 12 | 21 | 57.1 | 31.8 | +25.3 | 5.2 |
| Left corner 3 | 8 | 25 | 32.0 | 33.0 | -1.0 | 6.2 |
| Right corner 3 | 2 | 18 | 11.1 | 32.6 | -21.5 | 4.5 |
| Above-break 3 left | 26 | 78 | 33.3 | 30.7 | +2.6 | 19.5 |
| Above-break 3 center | 4 | 28 | 14.3 | 30.4 | -16.1 | 7.0 |
| Above-break 3 right | 23 | 58 | 39.7 | 30.9 | +8.8 | 14.5 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 31 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Sacramento State Hornets | 31 | 35.8 | 13.4 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 37.0% | 31.4% | 82.5% | 48.4 | 45.2 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | Montana State Bobcats | 34 | 16.0 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 44.0% | 38.3% | 80.0% | 57.2 | 53.3 |
| 2023-2024 | NCAAW | Montana State Bobcats | 33 | 29.0 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 32.7% | 26.1% | 80.4% | 42.4 | 38.2 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 31 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | @ | Idaho Vandals | L | 51-59 | 39 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | -2.0 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | @ | Idaho State Bengals | W | 62-53 | 38 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6.0 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | @ | Idaho State Bengals | W | 85-72 | 38 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Montana State Bobcat | L | 54-61 | 34 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4.0 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Montana Lady Griz | W | 75-57 | 39 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24.0 | - |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Idaho Vandals | L | 60-75 | 37 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -3.0 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | Northern Colorado Be | L | 55-62 | 40 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Portland State Vikin | L | 62-64 | 38 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4.0 | - |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Weber State Wildcats | L | 64-72 | 38 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11.0 | - |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Montana Lady Griz | W | 64-57 | 38 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11.0 | - |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Montana State Bobcat | L | 31-66 | 34 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7.0 | - |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Eastern Washington E | W | 61-54 | 35 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13.0 | - |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Idaho Vandals | L | 55-62 | 39 | 7-21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Northern Colorado Be | L | 46-68 | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Northern Arizona Lum | W | 78-59 | 36 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11.0 | - |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Portland State Vikin | W | 68-64 | 38 | 8-21 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Weber State Wildcats | W | 60-39 | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2.0 | - |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Idaho State Bengals | L | 46-61 | 37 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | San José State Spart | L | 56-61 | 40 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 3.0 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | San Francisco Dons | L | 55-61 | 38 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3.0 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Simpson (CA) Red Haw | W | 102-42 | 22 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27.0 | - |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Pacific Tigers | L | 54-67 | 38 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4.0 | - |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | California Baptist L | L | 49-92 | 31 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7.0 | - |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Chattanooga Mocs | L | 57-59 | 40 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | L | 67-70 | 43 | 8-16 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12.0 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 78-58 | 34 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12.0 | - |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Long Beach State Bea | W | 57-54 | 38 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5.0 | - |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | W | 71-60 | 40 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11.0 | - |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | California Golden Be | L | 52-69 | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-06 | vs | Nevada Wolf Pack | W | 65-45 | 35 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Stanton Elks | W | 124-39 | 21 | 8-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14.0 | - |