Natalie Fraley
Team: Portland
Position: G
Career Averages
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 4 postseason, 104 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Participation unresolved for 1 of 108 source rows; GP and per-game averages are unknown. Unresolved zero/NULL lines are not classified as DNP.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35.9% | 29.5% | 67.4% |
Plus/minus sample β 2025-2026: 11 games, 78.8 minutes, 261.0 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Model outputs use a separate game sample from the counting statistics. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 11 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.84 | 3568 | 78 | 252 | -4 | -0.4 | -2.0 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus. Current fits use points per 40 minutes above average; historical artifact units are unverified.
Model Outputs β 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Plus/Minus Adjusted Plus/Minus Unregularized adjusted plus-minus per 40 minutes. More β | -6.26 (#3732) | - |
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More β | -2.84 (#3568) | SE 3.54 | Poss 252 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More β | -2.79 (#3632) | Off -1.74 | Def -1.05 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More β | -1.53 (#2535) | PM/G -0.4 | PM/40 -2.0 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More β | 8.802 (#629) | legacy (no current published run); Vec (+0.95, +4.17) | Norm 4.28 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More β | +1.83 (#1949) | Pts For +1.83 | Prevent +4.55 | Net +6.37 | Min 261 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More β | +4.55 (#1123) | Pts For +1.83 | Prevent +4.55 | Net +6.37 | Min 261 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More β | +6.37 (#1451) | Pts For +1.83 | Prevent +4.55 | Net +6.37 | Min 261 |
| Offensive Rebounding Offensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. More β | +1.87 (#1346) | OReb% +1.87 | DReb% -1.77 | Min 261 |
| Defensive Rebounding Defensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. More β | -1.77 (#3540) | OReb% +1.87 | DReb% -1.77 | Min 261 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More β | +2.93 (#574) | Ast For +2.93 | Prevent +0.79 | Net +3.72 | Min 261 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More β | +0.79 (#1745) | Ast For +2.93 | Prevent +0.79 | Net +3.72 | Min 261 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More β | +3.72 (#823) | Ast For +2.93 | Prevent +0.79 | Net +3.72 | Min 261 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More β | +0.18 (#2000) | 3PM For +0.18 | Prevent +1.04 | Net +1.22 | Min 261 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More β | +1.04 (#805) | 3PM For +0.18 | Prevent +1.04 | Net +1.22 | Min 261 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More β | +1.22 (#1141) | 3PM For +0.18 | Prevent +1.04 | Net +1.22 | Min 261 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More β | +4.19 (#229) | Stocks For +4.19 | Prevent +0.46 | Net +4.65 | Min 261 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More β | +0.46 (#1936) | Stocks For +4.19 | Prevent +0.46 | Net +4.65 | Min 261 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More β | +4.65 (#423) | Stocks For +4.19 | Prevent +0.46 | Net +4.65 | Min 261 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More β | -1.31 (#3674) | TOV For -1.31 | Prevent +2.69 | Net +1.38 | Min 261 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More β | +2.69 (#509) | TOV For -1.31 | Prevent +2.69 | Net +1.38 | Min 261 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More β | +1.38 (#1535) | TOV For -1.31 | Prevent +2.69 | Net +1.38 | Min 261 |
Shot Chart β 2025-2026
24/66 FG (36.4%), 55 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 11 | 18 | 61.1 | 58.6 | +2.5 | 27.3 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 5 | 16 | 31.2 | 40.9 | -9.7 | 24.2 |
| Mid-range left | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 32.4 | -32.4 | 3.0 |
| Mid-range center | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 35.8 | +64.2 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range right | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 31.8 | -31.8 | 4.5 |
| Left corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.0 | - | 0.0 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 32.6 | -32.6 | 1.5 |
| Above-break 3 left | 0 | 5 | 0.0 | 30.7 | -30.7 | 7.6 |
| Above-break 3 center | 2 | 4 | 50.0 | 30.4 | +19.6 | 6.1 |
| Above-break 3 right | 5 | 16 | 31.2 | 30.9 | +0.3 | 24.2 |
Career Stats
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 4 postseason, 104 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Participation unresolved for 1 of 108 source rows; GP and per-game averages are unknown. Unresolved zero/NULL lines are not classified as DNP. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Portland | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 36.4% | 26.9% | 66.7% | 45.3 | 41.7 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | Portland | 35 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 28.4% | 23.3% | 64.7% | 37.6 | 33.6 |
| 2023-2024 | NCAAW | Portland | 33 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 44.2% | 30.4% | 73.3% | 53.8 | 48.7 |
| 2022-2023 | NCAAW | Utah State | 24 | 19.0 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 34.5% | 33.3% | 61.9% | 45.1 | 43.1 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Game Log β 2025-2026
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 4 postseason, 104 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Participation unresolved for 1 of 108 source rows; GP and per-game averages are unknown. Unresolved zero/NULL lines are not classified as DNP.
The latest season's 16 of 108 career games; each season's games are under its link above.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | W | 92-91 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +0.1 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Pacific Tigers | W | 74-53 | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | -2.9 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Washington State Cou | W | 62-49 | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | San Francisco Dons | L | 64-67 | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | -4.2 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Portland State Vikin | W | 98-53 | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5.0 | +10.4 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Oregon Ducks | L | 59-85 | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4.0 | +2.1 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Long Beach State Bea | W | 94-58 | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5.0 | +1.0 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | BYU Cougars | L | 53-87 | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.0 | -3.6 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Eastern Washington E | W | 73-58 | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1.0 | -4.0 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Nevada Wolf Pack | W | 65-52 | 21 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6.0 | -3.9 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Hawai'i Rainbow Wahi | L | 61-66 | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | -1.8 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Idaho State Bengals | L | 57-58 | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3.0 | -0.3 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | USC Trojans | L | 51-78 | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6.0 | - |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Warner Pacific Knigh | W | 107-26 | 14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5.0 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Montana State Bobcat | L | 72-86 | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Willamette Bearcats | W | 95-43 | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10.0 | - |