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Caelan Ellis

Caelan Ellis

Team: Charleston So.
Position: G

Career Averages

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 68 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Participation unresolved for 1 of 68 source rows; GP and per-game averages are unknown. Unresolved zero/NULL lines are not classified as DNP.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
- - - - - - - - - - 32.6% 31.5% 73.8%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 27 games, 834.7 minutes, 2729.8 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 27 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-1.73 2869 834 2729 -244 -9.0 -11.7

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.82 | Poss 2730 More β†’ -1.73 (#2869) SE 2.82 | Poss 2730
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off -1.10 | Def -0.64 More β†’ -1.73 (#2869) Off -1.10 | Def -0.64
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G -9.0 | PM/40 -11.7 More β†’ -8.94 (#4279) PM/G -9.0 | PM/40 -11.7
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (-0.60, +1.20) | Norm 1.34 More β†’ 3.718 (#1756) Vec (-0.60, +1.20) | Norm 1.34
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.42 (#3691) Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830 More β†’ -2.91 (#4202) Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830 More β†’ -4.33 (#4142) Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.27 (#4132) Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830 More β†’ -2.42 (#4260) Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830 More β†’ -0.96 (#4133) OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.01 (#4208) OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.97 (#4245) OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830 More β†’ -0.31 (#3396) DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.41 (#4241) DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.72 (#4163) DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830 More β†’ -3.69 (#4258) Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830 More β†’ -0.65 (#3902) Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830 More β†’ -0.46 (#3754) Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.11 (#4012) Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830 More β†’ +1.01 (#79) 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830 More β†’ -0.50 (#4134) 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830 More β†’ +0.51 (#524) 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.62 (#4268) Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830 More β†’ +0.37 (#674) Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.24 (#4133) Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830 More β†’ +0.18 (#1330) TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830 More β†’ -1.04 (#4111) TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830 More β†’ -0.86 (#3863) TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

134/375 FG (35.7%), 345 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed Β· 2 long heaves not drawn
48%14/29 35%23/66 29%10/35 0%0/1 42%10/24 36%12/33 21%5/24 42%24/57 34%11/32 34%25/74
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 14 29 48.3 58.6 -10.3 7.7
Paint (non-RA) 23 66 34.8 40.9 -6.1 17.6
Mid-range left 10 35 28.6 32.4 -3.8 9.3
Mid-range center 0 1 0.0 35.8 -35.8 0.3
Mid-range right 10 24 41.7 31.8 +9.9 6.4
Left corner 3 12 33 36.4 33.0 +3.4 8.8
Right corner 3 5 24 20.8 32.6 -11.8 6.4
Above-break 3 left 24 57 42.1 30.7 +11.4 15.2
Above-break 3 center 11 32 34.4 30.4 +4.0 8.5
Above-break 3 right 25 74 33.8 30.9 +2.9 19.7

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 68 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Participation unresolved for 1 of 68 source rows; GP and per-game averages are unknown. Unresolved zero/NULL lines are not classified as DNP. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW Charleston Southern Buccaneers 30 32.0 12.7 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.1 12.5 2.1 35.7% 35.0% 75.5% 48.2 46.0
2024-2025 NCAAW Charleston Southern Buccaneers 20 15.1 4.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 6.3 -1.5 27.0% 26.7% 50.0% 38.0 37.7
2022-2023 NCAAW Buffalo Bulls - - - - - - - - - - 22.9% 22.9% 75.0% 34.9 31.2

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 68 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Participation unresolved for 1 of 68 source rows; GP and per-game averages are unknown. Unresolved zero/NULL lines are not classified as DNP.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-05 @ Radford Highlanders L 67-86 38 3-9 1-4 7-8 3 1 1 0 3 14 7.0 -
2026-02-28 vs Winthrop Eagles L 55-77 38 3-16 2-10 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 10 -5.0 -
2026-02-25 @ Longwood Lancers L 69-96 33 6-15 2-6 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 14 3.0 -
2026-02-21 vs Radford Highlanders L 78-92 37 8-16 5-9 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 23 9.0 -
2026-02-14 @ High Point Panthers L 48-64 36 5-15 3-9 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 13 4.0 -
2026-02-11 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' L 44-56 31 0-8 0-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -7.0 -
2026-02-07 vs Presbyterian Blue Ho W 88-62 26 3-3 2-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 10 8.0 -
2026-02-04 vs UNC Asheville Bulldo L 48-60 34 2-11 1-3 2-4 3 1 1 0 2 7 -1.0 -
2026-01-30 @ South Carolina Upsta W 85-62 34 9-16 3-5 0-1 1 3 2 0 1 21 10.0 -
2026-01-28 vs High Point Panthers L 66-87 34 4-11 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 -1.0 -
2026-01-23 @ Presbyterian Blue Ho W 77-73 33 4-8 3-4 2-4 1 3 0 0 4 13 5.0 -
2026-01-17 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' L 45-52 37 5-12 2-5 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 14 1.0 -
2026-01-14 @ UNC Asheville Bulldo W 72-66 35 8-16 4-10 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 22 11.0 -
2026-01-10 @ Winthrop Eagles L 54-63 35 3-17 1-7 4-4 3 2 1 0 5 11 -5.0 -
2026-01-07 vs Longwood Lancers L 63-83 33 9-18 5-11 3-3 2 2 2 0 3 26 11.0 -
2026-01-03 @ Radford Highlanders W 63-59 37 5-16 2-9 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 13 2.0 -
2025-12-31 vs South Carolina Upsta W 60-49 33 4-15 0-6 1-2 1 3 2 0 0 9 0.0 -
2025-12-29 @ Georgia Lady Bulldog L 52-97 28 3-11 3-9 1-2 0 3 2 0 0 10 4.0 -
2025-12-21 @ North Carolina Tar H L 74-93 33 6-11 5-7 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 18 4.0 -
2025-12-19 vs Furman Paladins L 53-66 27 6-11 3-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 15 2.0 -
2025-12-17 vs Clemson Tigers L 52-78 26 4-11 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 1.0 -
2025-12-06 @ Wofford Terriers L 42-70 35 2-13 2-9 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 -4.0 -
2025-12-01 vs Allen Yellow Jackets W 83-62 20 5-10 3-6 1-2 1 0 2 0 5 14 2.0 -
2025-11-28 vs Mercer Bears L 45-71 37 5-18 4-13 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 16 3.0 -
2025-11-25 vs Georgia Southern Eag L 57-65 32 4-15 3-10 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 -2.0 -
2025-11-22 vs South Carolina State W 53-51 29 6-13 4-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 16 2.0 -
2025-11-13 @ Georgia Tech Yellow L 40-87 29 4-13 4-10 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 12 -2.0 -
2025-11-11 @ East Carolina Pirate L 62-91 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2.0 -
2025-11-07 @ Charleston Cougars L 65-80 35 4-18 3-12 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 11 -7.0 -
2025-11-03 @ Jacksonville Dolphin L 84-86 34 4-7 4-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 14 10.0 -
2025-03-06 vs Winthrop Eagles L 45-48 8 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5.0 -
2025-03-01 vs Radford Highlanders W 60-50 22 4-11 3-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 11 0.0 -
2025-02-22 @ South Carolina Upsta W 59-49 15 3-9 2-7 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 9 -2.0 -
2025-02-19 vs High Point Panthers L 52-68 22 3-10 3-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 -1.0 -
2025-02-15 @ UNC Asheville Bulldo W 60-51 12 3-8 3-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 9 0.0 -
2025-02-12 vs Presbyterian Blue Ho W 79-65 17 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 1.0 -
2025-02-08 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' L 51-64 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2.0 -
2025-02-05 @ Winthrop Eagles L 47-54 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -4.0 -
2025-02-01 @ Longwood Lancers W 55-50 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 3 2 0 5 8 1.0 -
2025-01-29 vs South Carolina Upsta W 62-58 12 3-11 3-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 -1.0 -
2025-01-18 @ Radford Highlanders L 62-74 18 0-8 0-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -6.0 -
2025-01-15 vs Winthrop Eagles W 78-50 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2.0 -
2024-12-19 @ South Carolina Gamec L 46-82 23 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -4.0 -
2024-12-17 @ South Carolina State W 78-50 17 4-7 4-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 6.0 -
2024-12-08 @ Furman Paladins L 42-58 27 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 10 -1.0 -
2024-12-03 vs Charleston Cougars L 45-86 16 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 6 0.0 -
2024-11-12 @ LSU Tigers L 44-117 11 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -3.0 -
2024-11-10 vs Coastal Carolina Cha L 53-97 11 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4.0 -
2024-11-06 @ East Carolina Pirate L 56-81 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 -
2024-11-04 @ North Carolina Tar H L 53-83 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3.0 -
2023-03-01 vs Akron Zips W 64-50 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0 -
2023-02-25 @ Bowling Green Falcon W 84-66 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.0 -
2023-02-18 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 67-72 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2.0 -
2023-02-15 vs Kent State Golden Fl L 69-72 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0 -
2023-02-08 @ Toledo Rockets L 73-91 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 4.0 -
2023-01-28 @ Akron Zips L 47-69 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 -
2023-01-25 vs Bowling Green Falcon L 61-64 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
2023-01-21 @ Western Michigan Bro L 56-68 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0 -
2023-01-18 vs Ball State Cardinals L 59-81 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0 -
2023-01-14 vs Eastern Michigan Eag W 78-59 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 -
2022-12-29 @ St. Bonaventure Bonn W 58-49 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2.0 -
2022-12-10 vs Long Island Universi W 91-59 10 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 1.0 -
2022-12-07 @ Niagara Purple Eagle W 63-58 10 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.0 -
2022-12-01 @ Rhode Island Rams L 56-71 27 2-6 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 3.0 -
2022-11-27 vs Drexel Dragons L 35-53 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3.0 -
2022-11-22 vs Mercyhurst Lakers L 68-70 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3.0 -
2022-11-14 @ Stonehill Skyhawks W 62-56 23 2-8 1-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 -2.0 -
2022-11-07 @ Canisius Golden Grif L 55-57 25 2-10 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 -3.0 -