Caelan Ellis
Team: Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Position: G
Season Averages — 2025-2026
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 30 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 32.0 | 12.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 35.7% | 35.0% | 75.5% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 27 games, 834.7 minutes, 2729.8 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 27 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.73 | 2869 | 834 | 2729 | -244 | -9.0 | -11.7 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -1.73 (#2869) | SE 2.82 | Poss 2730 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -1.73 (#2869) | Off -1.10 | Def -0.64 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | -8.94 (#4279) | PM/G -9.0 | PM/40 -11.7 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More → | 3.718 (#1756) | Vec (-0.60, +1.20) | Norm 1.34 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | -1.42 (#3691) | Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | -2.91 (#4202) | Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | -4.33 (#4142) | Pts For -1.42 | Prevent -2.91 | Net -4.33 | Min 830 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More → | -1.27 (#4132) | Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More → | -2.42 (#4260) | Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More → | -0.96 (#4133) | OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More → | -1.01 (#4208) | OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More → | -1.97 (#4245) | OReb For -0.96 | Prevent -1.01 | Net -1.97 | Min 830 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More → | -0.31 (#3396) | DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More → | -1.41 (#4241) | DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More → | -1.72 (#4163) | DReb For -0.31 | Prevent -1.41 | Net -1.72 | Min 830 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More → | -3.69 (#4258) | Reb For -1.27 | Prevent -2.42 | Net -3.69 | Min 830 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | -0.65 (#3902) | Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | -0.46 (#3754) | Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | -1.11 (#4012) | Ast For -0.65 | Prevent -0.46 | Net -1.11 | Min 830 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | +1.01 (#79) | 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | -0.50 (#4134) | 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | +0.51 (#524) | 3PM For +1.01 | Prevent -0.50 | Net +0.51 | Min 830 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | -1.62 (#4268) | Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | +0.37 (#674) | Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | -1.24 (#4133) | Stocks For -1.62 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -1.24 | Min 830 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | +0.18 (#1330) | TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | -1.04 (#4111) | TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | -0.86 (#3863) | TOV For +0.18 | Prevent -1.04 | Net -0.86 | Min 830 |
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
134/375 FG (35.7%), 345 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 14 | 29 | 48.3 | 58.6 | -10.3 | 7.7 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 23 | 66 | 34.8 | 40.9 | -6.1 | 17.6 |
| Mid-range left | 10 | 35 | 28.6 | 32.4 | -3.8 | 9.3 |
| Mid-range center | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 35.8 | -35.8 | 0.3 |
| Mid-range right | 10 | 24 | 41.7 | 31.8 | +9.9 | 6.4 |
| Left corner 3 | 12 | 33 | 36.4 | 33.0 | +3.4 | 8.8 |
| Right corner 3 | 5 | 24 | 20.8 | 32.6 | -11.8 | 6.4 |
| Above-break 3 left | 24 | 57 | 42.1 | 30.7 | +11.4 | 15.2 |
| Above-break 3 center | 11 | 32 | 34.4 | 30.4 | +4.0 | 8.5 |
| Above-break 3 right | 25 | 74 | 33.8 | 30.9 | +2.9 | 19.7 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 30 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 30 | 32.0 | 12.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 35.7% | 35.0% | 75.5% | 48.2 | 46.0 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 20 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.3 | -1.5 | 27.0% | 26.7% | 50.0% | 38.0 | 37.7 |
| 2022-2023 | NCAAW | Buffalo Bulls | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 22.9% | 22.9% | 75.0% | 34.9 | 31.2 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 30 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | @ | Radford Highlanders | L | 67-86 | 38 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Winthrop Eagles | L | 55-77 | 38 | 3-16 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -5.0 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Longwood Lancers | L | 69-96 | 33 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3.0 | - |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Radford Highlanders | L | 78-92 | 37 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | High Point Panthers | L | 48-64 | 36 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4.0 | - |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Gardner-Webb Runnin' | L | 44-56 | 31 | 0-8 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | - |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Presbyterian Blue Ho | W | 88-62 | 26 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | UNC Asheville Bulldo | L | 48-60 | 34 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1.0 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | South Carolina Upsta | W | 85-62 | 34 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10.0 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | High Point Panthers | L | 66-87 | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1.0 | - |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Presbyterian Blue Ho | W | 77-73 | 33 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Gardner-Webb Runnin' | L | 45-52 | 37 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | UNC Asheville Bulldo | W | 72-66 | 35 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11.0 | - |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Winthrop Eagles | L | 54-63 | 35 | 3-17 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -5.0 | - |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Longwood Lancers | L | 63-83 | 33 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11.0 | - |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Radford Highlanders | W | 63-59 | 37 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | South Carolina Upsta | W | 60-49 | 33 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Georgia Lady Bulldog | L | 52-97 | 28 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | North Carolina Tar H | L | 74-93 | 33 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Furman Paladins | L | 53-66 | 27 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Clemson Tigers | L | 52-78 | 26 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wofford Terriers | L | 42-70 | 35 | 2-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4.0 | - |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Allen Yellow Jackets | W | 83-62 | 20 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Mercer Bears | L | 45-71 | 37 | 5-18 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3.0 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Georgia Southern Eag | L | 57-65 | 32 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 53-51 | 29 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | Georgia Tech Yellow | L | 40-87 | 29 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | East Carolina Pirate | L | 62-91 | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Charleston Cougars | L | 65-80 | 35 | 4-18 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -7.0 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Jacksonville Dolphin | L | 84-86 | 34 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10.0 | - |