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Natalie Pasco

Natalie Pasco

Team: Boise State Broncos
Position: G

Season Averages — 2025-2026

ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 34 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
34 32.5 12.5 3.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.5 9.9 7.4 45.7% 43.7% 79.6%

Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 29 games, 881.9 minutes, 2962.3 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 29 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
+1.39 872 881 2962 +148 +5.1 +6.7

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs — 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.86 | Poss 2962 More → +1.39 (#872) SE 2.86 | Poss 2962
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off +1.78 | Def -0.39 More → +1.39 (#872) Off +1.78 | Def -0.39
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G +5.1 | PM/40 +6.7 More → +5.00 (#474) PM/G +5.1 | PM/40 +6.7
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (+1.81, +2.60) | Norm 3.16 More → 9.385 (#342) Vec (+1.81, +2.60) | Norm 3.16
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For +1.93 | Prevent +1.32 | Net +3.26 | Min 902 More → +1.93 (#491) Pts For +1.93 | Prevent +1.32 | Net +3.26 | Min 902
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For +1.93 | Prevent +1.32 | Net +3.26 | Min 902 More → +1.32 (#541) Pts For +1.93 | Prevent +1.32 | Net +3.26 | Min 902
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For +1.93 | Prevent +1.32 | Net +3.26 | Min 902 More → +3.26 (#410) Pts For +1.93 | Prevent +1.32 | Net +3.26 | Min 902
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For +0.75 | Prevent +0.93 | Net +1.68 | Min 902 More → +0.75 (#552) Reb For +0.75 | Prevent +0.93 | Net +1.68 | Min 902
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For +0.75 | Prevent +0.93 | Net +1.68 | Min 902 More → +0.93 (#413) Reb For +0.75 | Prevent +0.93 | Net +1.68 | Min 902
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.34 | Prevent +0.65 | Net +0.31 | Min 902 More → -0.34 (#3504) OReb For -0.34 | Prevent +0.65 | Net +0.31 | Min 902
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.34 | Prevent +0.65 | Net +0.31 | Min 902 More → +0.65 (#214) OReb For -0.34 | Prevent +0.65 | Net +0.31 | Min 902
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For -0.34 | Prevent +0.65 | Net +0.31 | Min 902 More → +0.31 (#1166) OReb For -0.34 | Prevent +0.65 | Net +0.31 | Min 902
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For +1.09 | Prevent +0.28 | Net +1.37 | Min 902 More → +1.09 (#197) DReb For +1.09 | Prevent +0.28 | Net +1.37 | Min 902
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For +1.09 | Prevent +0.28 | Net +1.37 | Min 902 More → +0.28 (#1028) DReb For +1.09 | Prevent +0.28 | Net +1.37 | Min 902
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For +1.09 | Prevent +0.28 | Net +1.37 | Min 902 More → +1.37 (#275) DReb For +1.09 | Prevent +0.28 | Net +1.37 | Min 902
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For +0.75 | Prevent +0.93 | Net +1.68 | Min 902 More → +1.68 (#401) Reb For +0.75 | Prevent +0.93 | Net +1.68 | Min 902
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For +1.11 | Prevent +0.66 | Net +1.77 | Min 902 More → +1.11 (#225) Ast For +1.11 | Prevent +0.66 | Net +1.77 | Min 902
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For +1.11 | Prevent +0.66 | Net +1.77 | Min 902 More → +0.66 (#368) Ast For +1.11 | Prevent +0.66 | Net +1.77 | Min 902
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For +1.11 | Prevent +0.66 | Net +1.77 | Min 902 More → +1.77 (#147) Ast For +1.11 | Prevent +0.66 | Net +1.77 | Min 902
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.21 | Prevent -0.05 | Net +0.17 | Min 902 More → +0.21 (#975) 3PM For +0.21 | Prevent -0.05 | Net +0.17 | Min 902
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.21 | Prevent -0.05 | Net +0.17 | Min 902 More → -0.05 (#2726) 3PM For +0.21 | Prevent -0.05 | Net +0.17 | Min 902
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For +0.21 | Prevent -0.05 | Net +0.17 | Min 902 More → +0.17 (#1270) 3PM For +0.21 | Prevent -0.05 | Net +0.17 | Min 902
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For -0.97 | Prevent +0.31 | Net -0.66 | Min 902 More → -0.97 (#4131) Stocks For -0.97 | Prevent +0.31 | Net -0.66 | Min 902
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For -0.97 | Prevent +0.31 | Net -0.66 | Min 902 More → +0.31 (#829) Stocks For -0.97 | Prevent +0.31 | Net -0.66 | Min 902
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For -0.97 | Prevent +0.31 | Net -0.66 | Min 902 More → -0.66 (#3786) Stocks For -0.97 | Prevent +0.31 | Net -0.66 | Min 902
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For +0.44 | Prevent -0.57 | Net -0.12 | Min 902 More → +0.44 (#738) TOV For +0.44 | Prevent -0.57 | Net -0.12 | Min 902
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For +0.44 | Prevent -0.57 | Net -0.12 | Min 902 More → -0.57 (#3709) TOV For +0.44 | Prevent -0.57 | Net -0.12 | Min 902
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For +0.44 | Prevent -0.57 | Net -0.12 | Min 902 More → -0.12 (#2579) TOV For +0.44 | Prevent -0.57 | Net -0.12 | Min 902

Shot Chart — 2025-2026

153/333 FG (45.9%), 386 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed
53%19/36 55%34/62 31%5/16 57%4/7 38%11/29 30%3/10 66%21/32 32%10/31 50%5/10 41%41/100
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 19 36 52.8 58.6 -5.8 10.8
Paint (non-RA) 34 62 54.8 40.9 +13.9 18.6
Mid-range left 5 16 31.2 32.4 -1.2 4.8
Mid-range center 4 7 57.1 35.8 +21.3 2.1
Mid-range right 11 29 37.9 31.8 +6.1 8.7
Left corner 3 3 10 30.0 33.0 -3.0 3.0
Right corner 3 21 32 65.6 32.6 +33.0 9.6
Above-break 3 left 10 31 32.3 30.7 +1.6 9.3
Above-break 3 center 5 10 50.0 30.4 +19.6 3.0
Above-break 3 right 41 100 41.0 30.9 +10.1 30.0

Career Stats

ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 34 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW Boise State Broncos 34 32.5 12.5 3.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.5 9.9 7.4 45.7% 43.7% 79.6% 59.6 57.6
2024-2025 NCAAW Boise State Broncos 33 25.2 12.5 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.2 10.5 3.9 44.1% 41.1% 87.8% 56.2 53.5
2023-2024 NCAAW Boise State Broncos 35 29.9 13.2 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.8 12.0 3.4 39.5% 39.4% 82.5% 52.0 49.5
2022-2023 NCAAW Boise State Broncos 33 18.4 8.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.3 7.2 2.4 41.5% 36.5% 93.5% 54.3 51.3

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 34 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-09 vs Air Force Falcons L 66-68 35 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 4 2 0 2 3 9.0 -
2026-03-08 @ New Mexico Lobos W 62-61 34 4-9 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 11 3.0 -
2026-03-07 vs San José State Spart W 68-51 33 6-13 2-6 7-7 11 2 0 0 2 21 19.0 -
2026-03-04 @ UNLV Lady Rebels L 47-76 29 3-7 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 6 3.0 -
2026-02-28 vs Utah State Aggies W 75-59 36 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 11 8.0 -
2026-02-25 vs San Diego State Azte L 64-66 35 5-10 2-6 2-2 7 1 0 0 4 14 8.0 -
2026-02-21 @ San José State Spart W 71-48 30 3-8 0-3 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 7 5.0 -
2026-02-18 vs Air Force Falcons W 70-62 38 7-12 4-6 3-3 5 1 1 0 5 21 11.0 -
2026-02-14 @ Wyoming Cowgirls W 56-54 31 2-9 1-5 0-0 7 2 2 0 0 5 7.0 -
2026-02-11 @ Fresno State Bulldog L 69-75 33 6-13 4-9 3-4 2 1 2 0 2 19 9.0 -
2026-02-07 vs New Mexico Lobos W 63-35 33 6-11 4-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 16 12.0 -
2026-02-04 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 70-61 35 5-10 4-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 14 7.0 -
2026-01-31 vs San José State Spart W 96-62 28 6-12 2-6 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 16 12.0 -
2026-01-24 @ Grand Canyon Lopes W 75-65 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 7 5.0 -
2026-01-21 vs Fresno State Bulldog W 60-52 27 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 0.0 -
2026-01-17 @ Utah State Aggies W 76-60 32 5-12 3-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 13 5.0 -
2026-01-14 vs Wyoming Cowgirls W 77-40 29 2-4 1-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 6 4.0 -
2026-01-10 vs Colorado State Rams W 62-59 36 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 -1.0 -
2026-01-07 @ Air Force Falcons W 70-59 33 9-11 6-7 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 24 18.0 -
2026-01-03 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 76-87 31 1-7 0-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 -2.0 -
2025-12-31 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 74-62 33 7-16 5-10 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 19 9.0 -
2025-12-20 @ San Diego State Azte L 54-83 23 2-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -3.0 -
2025-12-17 @ New Mexico Lobos L 63-70 35 6-13 2-8 2-3 3 6 1 1 3 16 11.0 -
2025-12-13 vs Southern Utah Thunde W 81-66 36 8-10 5-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 21 16.0 -
2025-12-10 @ Utah Utes L 58-91 31 4-10 4-7 0-2 1 4 0 1 0 12 8.0 -
2025-12-06 vs California Baptist L W 82-80 37 5-11 4-8 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 15 7.0 -
2025-11-28 vs Tulane Green Wave W 81-76 29 5-13 2-9 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 15 5.0 -
2025-11-27 vs North Dakota Fightin W 65-45 36 3-13 0-3 1-1 7 2 2 0 0 7 5.0 -
2025-11-23 vs UC Riverside Highlan W 67-56 38 6-13 4-5 3-4 2 2 1 0 2 19 9.0 -
2025-11-21 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 86-65 34 9-13 3-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 22 11.0 -
2025-11-18 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 53-83 28 5-8 2-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 14 7.0 -
2025-11-14 vs UC Davis Aggies W 91-77 34 4-9 2-2 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 10 6.0 -
2025-11-09 vs San Francisco Dons W 83-68 34 7-11 4-7 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 22 15.0 -
2025-11-03 vs Eastern Oregon Mount W 59-51 33 1-5 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 5 5.0 -