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Lilly Ferguson

Lilly Ferguson

Team: Massachusetts
Position: F

Career Averages

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 101 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
101 18.8 3.3 3.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.8 41.1% 13.6% 71.3%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 29 games, 641.5 minutes, 2069.7 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 29 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-1.90 3029 641 2069 +135 +4.7 +8.4

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.38 | Poss 2070 More β†’ -1.90 (#3029) SE 2.38 | Poss 2070
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off -1.37 | Def -0.53 More β†’ -1.90 (#3029) Off -1.37 | Def -0.53
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G +4.7 | PM/40 +8.4 More β†’ +6.52 (#568) PM/G +4.7 | PM/40 +8.4
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (+1.08, -1.96) | Norm 2.24 More β†’ -3.746 (#3752) Vec (+1.08, -1.96) | Norm 2.24
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692 More β†’ +3.89 (#1379) Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692 More β†’ +3.26 (#1466) Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692 More β†’ +7.15 (#1324) Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692
Offensive Rebounding Offensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. OReb% +1.40 | DReb% +1.88 | Min 692 More β†’ +1.40 (#1569) OReb% +1.40 | DReb% +1.88 | Min 692
Defensive Rebounding Defensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. OReb% +1.40 | DReb% +1.88 | Min 692 More β†’ +1.88 (#1466) OReb% +1.40 | DReb% +1.88 | Min 692
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692 More β†’ +2.53 (#700) Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692 More β†’ -1.36 (#3618) Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692 More β†’ +1.17 (#1809) Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692 More β†’ -1.49 (#3842) 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692 More β†’ -0.61 (#3494) 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692 More β†’ -2.09 (#3961) 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692 More β†’ +2.08 (#765) Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692 More β†’ +1.33 (#1057) Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692 More β†’ +3.40 (#683) Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692 More β†’ +2.74 (#645) TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692 More β†’ +2.22 (#671) TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692 More β†’ +4.96 (#419) TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

62/141 FG (44.0%), 126 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed
56%32/57 43%16/37 21%3/14 46%5/11 33%4/12 0%0/1 0%0/1 67%2/3 0%0/5
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 32 57 56.1 58.6 -2.5 40.4
Paint (non-RA) 16 37 43.2 40.9 +2.3 26.2
Mid-range left 3 14 21.4 32.4 -11.0 9.9
Mid-range center 5 11 45.5 35.8 +9.7 7.8
Mid-range right 4 12 33.3 31.8 +1.5 8.5
Left corner 3 0 0 - 33.0 - 0.0
Right corner 3 0 1 0.0 32.6 -32.6 0.7
Above-break 3 left 0 1 0.0 30.7 -30.7 0.7
Above-break 3 center 2 3 66.7 30.4 +36.3 2.1
Above-break 3 right 0 5 0.0 30.9 -30.9 3.5

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 101 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW Massachusetts Minutewomen 30 23.1 5.1 6.2 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.8 4.7 8.5 44.0% 20.0% 72.2% 48.5 44.7
2024-2025 NCAAW Massachusetts Minutewomen 32 18.0 3.2 3.9 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.6 4.8 47.6% 0.0% 74.2% 52.8 47.6
2023-2024 NCAAW Massachusetts Minutewomen 30 20.5 2.8 2.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.1 3.2 2.7 31.6% 11.1% 67.6% 38.2 32.1
2022-2023 NCAAW Massachusetts Minutewomen 9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 -0.3 0.0% - - 0.0 0.0

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log β€” 2025-2026

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 101 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

The latest season's 30 of 101 career games; each season's games are under its link above.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-11vsToledo RocketsL56-67250-00-00-0111212013.0-
2026-03-07vsBuffalo BullsW73-55282-60-02-25220168.0-
2026-03-04@Akron ZipsW74-64254-40-01-13120299.0-
2026-02-28@Western Michigan BroW64-48292-50-00-06110047.0-
2026-02-25vsKent State Golden FlW66-56251-40-00-0103000211.0-
2026-02-21@Central Michigan ChiW69-50213-70-00-15000262.0-
2026-02-18vsToledo RocketsL52-60162-50-01-28100158.0-
2026-02-14vsMiami (OH) RedHawksW65-64171-20-00-03200025.0-
2026-02-10@Northern Illinois HuW75-54253-50-01-15100177.0-
2026-02-08vsJames Madison DukesL57-71312-60-10-07510249.0-
2026-02-04vsEastern Michigan EagW75-60223-50-11-271200712.0-
2026-01-28@Ohio BobcatsW85-76363-51-23-4732011016.0-
2026-01-24vsBowling Green FalconW65-64252-20-01-23000353.0-
2026-01-21@Ball State CardinalsL60-78325-110-10-050101104.0-
2026-01-17@Buffalo BullsW79-67261-40-04-6112001614.0-
2026-01-14vsAkron ZipsW82-68306-110-01-2722001313.0-
2026-01-10vsCentral Michigan ChiW74-72322-80-00-011010147.0-
2026-01-07@Miami (OH) RedHawksL60-72181-30-00-04000023.0-
2026-01-03@Kent State Golden FlW75-70213-50-00-07100168.0-
2025-12-31vsWestern Michigan BroW73-40162-20-03-4103100719.0-
2025-12-20@Youngstown State PenL69-72181-30-00-06400227.0-
2025-12-19@Florida Atlantic OwlW66-50120-10-00-06110106.0-
2025-12-06@Army Black KnightsL61-64213-60-10-05200067.0-
2025-12-03@Northeastern HuskiesW71-52193-70-00-07310169.0-
2025-11-25@Holy Cross CrusadersW63-40271-30-14-581501616.0-
2025-11-22vsBoston College EagleW61-52252-50-00-03420048.0-
2025-11-18vsUMass Lowell River HW85-45160-30-02-24100024.0-
2025-11-11vsHarvard CrimsonW68-55110-30-10-02110001.0-
2025-11-08vsSiena SaintsW84-73242-60-10-06330149.0-
2025-11-03@Old Dominion MonarchW58-52192-41-12-24110079.0-