Lilly Ferguson
Team: Massachusetts
Position: F
Career Averages
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 101 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 18.8 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 41.1% | 13.6% | 71.3% |
Plus/minus sample β 2025-2026: 29 games, 641.5 minutes, 2069.7 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 29 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.90 | 3029 | 641 | 2069 | +135 | +4.7 | +8.4 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs β 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More β | -1.90 (#3029) | SE 2.38 | Poss 2070 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More β | -1.90 (#3029) | Off -1.37 | Def -0.53 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More β | +6.52 (#568) | PM/G +4.7 | PM/40 +8.4 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More β | -3.746 (#3752) | Vec (+1.08, -1.96) | Norm 2.24 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More β | +3.89 (#1379) | Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More β | +3.26 (#1466) | Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More β | +7.15 (#1324) | Pts For +3.89 | Prevent +3.26 | Net +7.15 | Min 692 |
| Offensive Rebounding Offensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. More β | +1.40 (#1569) | OReb% +1.40 | DReb% +1.88 | Min 692 |
| Defensive Rebounding Defensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. More β | +1.88 (#1466) | OReb% +1.40 | DReb% +1.88 | Min 692 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More β | +2.53 (#700) | Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More β | -1.36 (#3618) | Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More β | +1.17 (#1809) | Ast For +2.53 | Prevent -1.36 | Net +1.17 | Min 692 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More β | -1.49 (#3842) | 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More β | -0.61 (#3494) | 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More β | -2.09 (#3961) | 3PM For -1.49 | Prevent -0.61 | Net -2.09 | Min 692 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More β | +2.08 (#765) | Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More β | +1.33 (#1057) | Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More β | +3.40 (#683) | Stocks For +2.08 | Prevent +1.33 | Net +3.40 | Min 692 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More β | +2.74 (#645) | TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More β | +2.22 (#671) | TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More β | +4.96 (#419) | TOV For +2.74 | Prevent +2.22 | Net +4.96 | Min 692 |
Shot Chart β 2025-2026
62/141 FG (44.0%), 126 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 32 | 57 | 56.1 | 58.6 | -2.5 | 40.4 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 16 | 37 | 43.2 | 40.9 | +2.3 | 26.2 |
| Mid-range left | 3 | 14 | 21.4 | 32.4 | -11.0 | 9.9 |
| Mid-range center | 5 | 11 | 45.5 | 35.8 | +9.7 | 7.8 |
| Mid-range right | 4 | 12 | 33.3 | 31.8 | +1.5 | 8.5 |
| Left corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.0 | - | 0.0 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 32.6 | -32.6 | 0.7 |
| Above-break 3 left | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 30.7 | -30.7 | 0.7 |
| Above-break 3 center | 2 | 3 | 66.7 | 30.4 | +36.3 | 2.1 |
| Above-break 3 right | 0 | 5 | 0.0 | 30.9 | -30.9 | 3.5 |
Career Stats
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 101 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Massachusetts Minutewomen | 30 | 23.1 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 8.5 | 44.0% | 20.0% | 72.2% | 48.5 | 44.7 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | Massachusetts Minutewomen | 32 | 18.0 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 47.6% | 0.0% | 74.2% | 52.8 | 47.6 |
| 2023-2024 | NCAAW | Massachusetts Minutewomen | 30 | 20.5 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 31.6% | 11.1% | 67.6% | 38.2 | 32.1 |
| 2022-2023 | NCAAW | Massachusetts Minutewomen | 9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 0.0% | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log β 2025-2026
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 101 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
The latest season's 30 of 101 career games; each season's games are under its link above.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | vs | Toledo Rockets | L | 56-67 | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13.0 | - |
| 2026-03-07 | vs | Buffalo Bulls | W | 73-55 | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | @ | Akron Zips | W | 74-64 | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Western Michigan Bro | W | 64-48 | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Kent State Golden Fl | W | 66-56 | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11.0 | - |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Central Michigan Chi | W | 69-50 | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2.0 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Toledo Rockets | L | 52-60 | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Miami (OH) RedHawks | W | 65-64 | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | @ | Northern Illinois Hu | W | 75-54 | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | James Madison Dukes | L | 57-71 | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Eastern Michigan Eag | W | 75-60 | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12.0 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Ohio Bobcats | W | 85-76 | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16.0 | - |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Bowling Green Falcon | W | 65-64 | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3.0 | - |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Ball State Cardinals | L | 60-78 | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4.0 | - |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Buffalo Bulls | W | 79-67 | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14.0 | - |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Akron Zips | W | 82-68 | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13.0 | - |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Central Michigan Chi | W | 74-72 | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Miami (OH) RedHawks | L | 60-72 | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.0 | - |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Kent State Golden Fl | W | 75-70 | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8.0 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Western Michigan Bro | W | 73-40 | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19.0 | - |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Youngstown State Pen | L | 69-72 | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7.0 | - |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Florida Atlantic Owl | W | 66-50 | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.0 | - |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 61-64 | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7.0 | - |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Northeastern Huskies | W | 71-52 | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9.0 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Holy Cross Crusaders | W | 63-40 | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16.0 | - |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Boston College Eagle | W | 61-52 | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8.0 | - |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | UMass Lowell River H | W | 85-45 | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Harvard Crimson | W | 68-55 | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Siena Saints | W | 84-73 | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9.0 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Old Dominion Monarch | W | 58-52 | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9.0 | - |