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TJ Caldwell

TJ Caldwell

Team: Arkansas State Red Wolves

Career Averages

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 30 regular season, 65 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
95 18.6 6.6 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.1 5.7 3.7 37.5% 32.5% 79.5%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 27 games, 522.2 minutes, 1927.7 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 27 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-4.20 4651 522 1927 -20 -0.7 -1.5

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.55 | Poss 1928 More β†’ -4.20 (#4651) SE 2.55 | Poss 1928
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off -2.84 | Def -1.37 More β†’ -4.20 (#4651) Off -2.84 | Def -1.37
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G -0.7 | PM/40 -1.5 More β†’ -1.04 (#2684) PM/G -0.7 | PM/40 -1.5
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For +5.89 | Prevent +4.48 | Net +10.36 | Min 647 More β†’ +5.89 (#887) Pts For +5.89 | Prevent +4.48 | Net +10.36 | Min 647
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For +5.89 | Prevent +4.48 | Net +10.36 | Min 647 More β†’ +4.48 (#1037) Pts For +5.89 | Prevent +4.48 | Net +10.36 | Min 647
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For +5.89 | Prevent +4.48 | Net +10.36 | Min 647 More β†’ +10.36 (#775) Pts For +5.89 | Prevent +4.48 | Net +10.36 | Min 647
Offensive Rebounding Offensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. OReb% +6.78 | DReb% +1.54 | Min 647 More β†’ +6.78 (#211) OReb% +6.78 | DReb% +1.54 | Min 647
Defensive Rebounding Defensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. OReb% +6.78 | DReb% +1.54 | Min 647 More β†’ +1.54 (#1687) OReb% +6.78 | DReb% +1.54 | Min 647
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For +1.93 | Prevent -0.46 | Net +1.47 | Min 647 More β†’ +1.93 (#943) Ast For +1.93 | Prevent -0.46 | Net +1.47 | Min 647
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For +1.93 | Prevent -0.46 | Net +1.47 | Min 647 More β†’ -0.46 (#3156) Ast For +1.93 | Prevent -0.46 | Net +1.47 | Min 647
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For +1.93 | Prevent -0.46 | Net +1.47 | Min 647 More β†’ +1.47 (#1734) Ast For +1.93 | Prevent -0.46 | Net +1.47 | Min 647
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For +1.51 | Prevent +0.50 | Net +2.01 | Min 647 More β†’ +1.51 (#822) 3PM For +1.51 | Prevent +0.50 | Net +2.01 | Min 647
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For +1.51 | Prevent +0.50 | Net +2.01 | Min 647 More β†’ +0.50 (#1611) 3PM For +1.51 | Prevent +0.50 | Net +2.01 | Min 647
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For +1.51 | Prevent +0.50 | Net +2.01 | Min 647 More β†’ +2.01 (#786) 3PM For +1.51 | Prevent +0.50 | Net +2.01 | Min 647
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For +0.29 | Prevent -1.75 | Net -1.46 | Min 647 More β†’ +0.29 (#1914) Stocks For +0.29 | Prevent -1.75 | Net -1.46 | Min 647
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For +0.29 | Prevent -1.75 | Net -1.46 | Min 647 More β†’ -1.75 (#4255) Stocks For +0.29 | Prevent -1.75 | Net -1.46 | Min 647
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For +0.29 | Prevent -1.75 | Net -1.46 | Min 647 More β†’ -1.46 (#3714) Stocks For +0.29 | Prevent -1.75 | Net -1.46 | Min 647
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For -1.68 | Prevent -0.66 | Net -2.34 | Min 647 More β†’ -1.68 (#4223) TOV For -1.68 | Prevent -0.66 | Net -2.34 | Min 647
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For -1.68 | Prevent -0.66 | Net -2.34 | Min 647 More β†’ -0.66 (#3206) TOV For -1.68 | Prevent -0.66 | Net -2.34 | Min 647
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For -1.68 | Prevent -0.66 | Net -2.34 | Min 647 More β†’ -2.34 (#4140) TOV For -1.68 | Prevent -0.66 | Net -2.34 | Min 647

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

92/235 FG (39.1%), 228 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed
61%22/36 43%23/53 25%1/4 17%2/12 25%3/12 20%1/5 36%17/47 33%6/18 35%17/48
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 22 36 61.1 64.5 -3.4 15.3
Paint (non-RA) 23 53 43.4 45.2 -1.8 22.6
Mid-range left 1 4 25.0 36.6 -11.6 1.7
Mid-range center 0 0 - 38.6 - 0.0
Mid-range right 2 12 16.7 37.4 -20.7 5.1
Left corner 3 3 12 25.0 36.5 -11.5 5.1
Right corner 3 1 5 20.0 36.9 -16.9 2.1
Above-break 3 left 17 47 36.2 34.1 +2.1 20.0
Above-break 3 center 6 18 33.3 32.8 +0.5 7.7
Above-break 3 right 17 48 35.4 33.6 +1.8 20.4

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 30 regular season, 65 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAM Arkansas State Red Wolves 32 20.2 9.4 2.7 1.0 0.8 0.3 1.3 7.3 5.4 39.1% 33.8% 82.8% 54.9 48.5
2023-2024 NCAAM Ole Miss 32 18.5 5.5 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.8 4.7 3.8 39.1% 35.1% 74.5% 50.7 45.7
2022-2023 NCAAM Ole Miss 31 17.1 4.7 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 1.2 4.9 1.9 33.3% 27.9% 78.8% 43.9 39.5

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log β€” 2025-2026

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 30 regular season, 65 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

The latest season's 32 of 95 career games; each season's games are under its link above.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-05vsGeorgia Southern EagL77-80110-30-30-01030100.0-
2026-02-27vsLouisiana Ragin' CajW81-58256-105-92-2211201915.0-
2026-02-24vsSouthern Miss GoldenW89-84191-50-24-65000165.0-2.0
2026-02-21@UL Monroe WarhawksW102-94275-104-73-4533111718.0-
2026-02-19@Louisiana Ragin' CajW79-62190-30-34-40000041.0-1.6
2026-02-14vsSouth Alabama JaguarL88-92203-72-53-424105116.0+4.5
2026-02-11vsUL Monroe WarhawksW103-70194-70-30-03220088.0-
2026-02-07vsBowling Green FalconW91-54195-83-51-2521001414.0+6.3
2026-02-04@Coastal Carolina ChaW70-66171-51-24-40020074.0-6.5
2026-01-31vsMarshall Thundering L61-70191-80-51-23210031.0-2.7
2026-01-28vsOld Dominion MonarchL71-75265-83-51-210011147.0-2.0
2026-01-24@Georgia State PantheL81-8280-00-02-20010023.0-
2026-01-22@Georgia Southern EagW85-68224-113-82-210201134.0-
2026-01-17@Troy TrojansL74-99186-123-62-211001176.0-17.8
2026-01-15@South Alabama JaguarL87-91172-52-50-03001164.0+1.0
2026-01-10vsTexas State BobcatsW83-82141-81-32-23100150.0-1.6
2026-01-07vsTroy TrojansW86-74171-61-32-44110154.0+3.7
2026-01-03vsJames Madison DukesL74-78130-50-40-0210010-3.0-10.7
2025-12-30vsArkansas Tech WonderW107-63255-73-54-4311031712.0-
2025-12-20@Southern Miss GoldenW93-86221-40-22-22120243.0-11.2
2025-12-17@Texas State BobcatsW89-70120-40-13-4100023-2.0+3.5
2025-12-13@Rice OwlsL76-77181-51-22-24000153.0-18.7
2025-12-06@Little Rock TrojansW90-78236-93-64-4411311918.0-6.2
2025-12-02vsUT Arlington MavericW83-63241-100-42-26100041.0+18.3
2025-11-28vsNorth Dakota State BW85-80296-115-82-2130111912.0-6.8
2025-11-24vsJacksonville State GW74-63222-41-32-24200178.0-6.8
2025-11-21@SMU MustangsL69-100308-160-64-541105205.0-26.7
2025-11-19@Saint Mary's GaelsL72-85242-81-43-41100280.0-6.3
2025-11-15vsChristian Brothers BW95-67235-90-13-431002136.0-
2025-11-11@Missouri State BearsW86-85276-150-34-471104166.0-
2025-11-07@Stephen F. Austin LuL65-90271-70-32-42010040.0-4.0
2025-11-03@Ohio BobcatsW89-85113-52-42-220002105.0-