Ciara Bailey
Team: Norfolk St.
Position: F
Career Averages
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 47 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 13.0 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 41.3% | 0.0% | 61.4% |
Plus/minus sample β 2025-2026: 15 games, 290.9 minutes, 884.6 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 15 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.19 | 3832 | 290 | 884 | -118 | -7.9 | -16.2 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs β 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More β | -3.19 (#3832) | SE 2.91 | Poss 885 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More β | -3.19 (#3832) | Off -1.54 | Def -1.65 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More β | -13.34 (#3891) | PM/G -7.9 | PM/40 -16.2 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More β | -9.527 (#5254) | Vec (-3.92, -2.47) | Norm 4.64 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More β | -1.41 (#3688) | Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More β | +0.99 (#805) | Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More β | -0.42 (#2658) | Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More β | -0.03 (#2427) | Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More β | -0.64 (#3713) | Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More β | -0.02 (#2355) | OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More β | -0.40 (#3841) | OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More β | -0.42 (#3486) | OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More β | -0.02 (#2252) | DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More β | -0.23 (#3166) | DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More β | -0.25 (#2964) | DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More β | -0.67 (#3358) | Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More β | -0.42 (#3543) | Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More β | +0.18 (#1431) | Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More β | -0.24 (#2872) | Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More β | -0.28 (#3527) | 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More β | +0.19 (#841) | 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More β | -0.09 (#2611) | 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More β | +0.85 (#250) | Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More β | -0.33 (#3707) | Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More β | +0.52 (#805) | Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More β | -0.12 (#2864) | TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More β | +0.36 (#842) | TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More β | +0.24 (#1382) | TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359 |
Shot Chart β 2025-2026
47/107 FG (43.9%), 94 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 28 | 44 | 63.6 | 58.6 | +5.0 | 41.1 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14 | 37 | 37.8 | 40.9 | -3.1 | 34.6 |
| Mid-range left | 2 | 5 | 40.0 | 32.4 | +7.6 | 4.7 |
| Mid-range center | 2 | 6 | 33.3 | 35.8 | -2.5 | 5.6 |
| Mid-range right | 1 | 11 | 9.1 | 31.8 | -22.7 | 10.3 |
| Left corner 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 33.0 | -33.0 | 0.9 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 32.6 | - | 0.0 |
| Above-break 3 left | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 30.7 | -30.7 | 0.9 |
| Above-break 3 center | 0 | 0 | - | 30.4 | - | 0.0 |
| Above-break 3 right | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 30.9 | -30.9 | 1.9 |
Career Stats
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 47 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Norfolk State Spartans | 24 | 18.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 43.0% | 0.0% | 62.9% | 46.4 | 43.0 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | Norfolk State Spartans | 23 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 36.6% | 0.0% | 59.1% | 42.4 | 36.6 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 47 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | vs | Loyola Chicago Rambl | L | 54-58 | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-03-14 | @ | Howard Bison | L | 46-53 | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4.0 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | @ | Maryland Eastern Sho | W | 60-51 | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-03-12 | vs | Morgan State Lady Be | W | 69-43 | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 14.0 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | vs | Howard Bison | L | 59-74 | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Coppin State Eagles | W | 73-34 | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | Morgan State Lady Be | W | 69-60 | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2.0 | - |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Maryland Eastern Sho | L | 60-63 | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 14.0 | - |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | North Carolina Centr | W | 68-48 | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 10.0 | - |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Elon Phoenix | L | 41-58 | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3.0 | - |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 45-79 | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 9.0 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Campbell Fighting Ca | L | 63-68 | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Dillard Blue Devils | W | 100-54 | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11.0 | - |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | Georgia Tech Yellow | L | 57-72 | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10.0 | - |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | North Carolina A&T A | W | 63-50 | 11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Shaw Bears | W | 86-48 | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10.0 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | App State Mountainee | L | 38-66 | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Hampton Lady Pirates | L | 55-57 | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8.0 | - |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Pennsylvania Quakers | L | 50-55 | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Iowa State Cyclones | L | 52-98 | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 32-83 | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4.0 | - |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Virginia State Troja | W | 77-53 | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | - |
| 2025-11-06 | vs | District of Columbia | W | 85-39 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Ole Miss Rebels | L | 46-87 | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-02-24 | vs | Morgan State Lady Be | W | 90-46 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Coppin State Eagles | W | 76-54 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-02-17 | vs | Delaware State Horne | W | 92-44 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Maryland Eastern Sho | W | 70-48 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2025-02-03 | vs | North Carolina Centr | W | 88-52 | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16.0 | - |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 83-37 | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Virginia Lynchburg D | W | 123-51 | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7.0 | - |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | Morgan State Lady Be | W | 77-69 | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Coppin State Eagles | W | 82-66 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-01-06 | @ | Delaware State Horne | W | 94-54 | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2.0 | - |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Maryland Eastern Sho | W | 72-54 | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.0 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Auburn Tigers | W | 63-57 | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | - |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | North Carolina Tar H | L | 47-90 | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.0 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | @ | North Carolina A&T A | W | 68-59 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2024-12-12 | vs | Shaw Bears | W | 90-57 | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5.0 | - |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Saint Louis Billiken | W | 75-66 | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | - |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Green Bay Phoenix | L | 54-55 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2024-11-29 | vs | Wyoming Cowgirls | W | 56-47 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2024-11-28 | vs | Washington State Cou | L | 60-68 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | UNC Wilmington Seaha | W | 71-52 | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.0 | - |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Radford Highlanders | W | 71-65 | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Hampton Lady Pirates | W | 62-53 | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Alabama Crimson Tide | L | 58-68 | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |