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Ciara Bailey

Ciara Bailey

Team: Norfolk St.
Position: F

Career Averages

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 47 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
47 13.0 3.5 3.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.1 3.3 4.2 41.3% 0.0% 61.4%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 15 games, 290.9 minutes, 884.6 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 15 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-3.19 3832 290 884 -118 -7.9 -16.2

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.91 | Poss 885 More β†’ -3.19 (#3832) SE 2.91 | Poss 885
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off -1.54 | Def -1.65 More β†’ -3.19 (#3832) Off -1.54 | Def -1.65
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G -7.9 | PM/40 -16.2 More β†’ -13.34 (#3891) PM/G -7.9 | PM/40 -16.2
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (-3.92, -2.47) | Norm 4.64 More β†’ -9.527 (#5254) Vec (-3.92, -2.47) | Norm 4.64
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 More β†’ -1.41 (#3688) Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 More β†’ +0.99 (#805) Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.42 (#2658) Pts For -1.41 | Prevent +0.99 | Net -0.42 | Min 359
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.03 (#2427) Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.64 (#3713) Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.02 (#2355) OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.40 (#3841) OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.42 (#3486) OReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.40 | Net -0.42 | Min 359
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.02 (#2252) DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.23 (#3166) DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.25 (#2964) DReb For -0.02 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.25 | Min 359
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.67 (#3358) Reb For -0.03 | Prevent -0.64 | Net -0.67 | Min 359
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.42 (#3543) Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359 More β†’ +0.18 (#1431) Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.24 (#2872) Ast For -0.42 | Prevent +0.18 | Net -0.24 | Min 359
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.28 (#3527) 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359 More β†’ +0.19 (#841) 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.09 (#2611) 3PM For -0.28 | Prevent +0.19 | Net -0.09 | Min 359
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359 More β†’ +0.85 (#250) Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.33 (#3707) Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359 More β†’ +0.52 (#805) Stocks For +0.85 | Prevent -0.33 | Net +0.52 | Min 359
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359 More β†’ -0.12 (#2864) TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359 More β†’ +0.36 (#842) TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359 More β†’ +0.24 (#1382) TOV For -0.12 | Prevent +0.36 | Net +0.24 | Min 359

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

47/107 FG (43.9%), 94 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed
64%28/44 38%14/37 40%2/5 33%2/6 9%1/11 0%0/1 0%0/1 0%0/2
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 28 44 63.6 58.6 +5.0 41.1
Paint (non-RA) 14 37 37.8 40.9 -3.1 34.6
Mid-range left 2 5 40.0 32.4 +7.6 4.7
Mid-range center 2 6 33.3 35.8 -2.5 5.6
Mid-range right 1 11 9.1 31.8 -22.7 10.3
Left corner 3 0 1 0.0 33.0 -33.0 0.9
Right corner 3 0 0 - 32.6 - 0.0
Above-break 3 left 0 1 0.0 30.7 -30.7 0.9
Above-break 3 center 0 0 - 30.4 - 0.0
Above-break 3 right 0 2 0.0 30.9 -30.9 1.9

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 47 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW Norfolk State Spartans 24 18.2 5.0 4.5 0.3 0.6 2.1 1.5 4.8 6.3 43.0% 0.0% 62.9% 46.4 43.0
2024-2025 NCAAW Norfolk State Spartans 23 7.6 1.9 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.8 2.0 36.6% 0.0% 59.1% 42.4 36.6

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 47 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-21 vs Loyola Chicago Rambl L 54-58 21 2-4 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 2 4 5 7.0 -
2026-03-14 @ Howard Bison L 46-53 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 2 4.0 -
2026-03-13 @ Maryland Eastern Sho W 60-51 27 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 3 1 4 8.0 -
2026-03-12 vs Morgan State Lady Be W 69-43 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 4 0 8 14.0 -
2026-03-05 vs Howard Bison L 59-74 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 1 4 9.0 -
2026-02-28 @ Coppin State Eagles W 73-34 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 3 1 4 8.0 -
2026-02-26 @ Morgan State Lady Be W 69-60 14 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 2.0 -
2026-01-08 vs Maryland Eastern Sho L 60-63 23 3-6 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 6 1 8 14.0 -
2026-01-03 @ North Carolina Centr W 68-48 23 2-4 0-0 1-2 9 0 2 4 6 5 10.0 -
2025-12-21 @ Elon Phoenix L 41-58 34 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 2 3.0 -
2025-12-18 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 45-79 32 5-12 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 4 4 10 9.0 -
2025-12-15 @ Campbell Fighting Ca L 63-68 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 2 0.0 -
2025-12-11 vs Dillard Blue Devils W 100-54 20 5-5 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 2 2 11 11.0 -
2025-12-08 @ Georgia Tech Yellow L 57-72 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 3 0 7 10.0 -
2025-12-06 @ North Carolina A&T A W 63-50 11 2-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 4 4.0 -
2025-12-01 vs Shaw Bears W 86-48 20 2-6 0-0 5-7 5 0 1 1 0 9 10.0 -
2025-11-25 @ App State Mountainee L 38-66 18 1-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 2 1.0 -
2025-11-21 vs Hampton Lady Pirates L 55-57 18 3-3 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 2 8 8.0 -
2025-11-18 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 50-55 15 3-8 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 0 7 4.0 -
2025-11-16 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 52-98 20 1-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 2 0 2 2.0 -
2025-11-12 @ Duke Blue Devils L 32-83 20 2-7 0-2 3-4 2 0 3 0 1 7 4.0 -
2025-11-09 vs Virginia State Troja W 77-53 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 1 0 0 6.0 -
2025-11-06 vs District of Columbia W 85-39 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1.0 -
2025-11-03 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 46-87 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 4 4 2.0 -
2025-02-24 vs Morgan State Lady Be W 90-46 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1.0 -
2025-02-22 @ Coppin State Eagles W 76-54 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2.0 -
2025-02-17 vs Delaware State Horne W 92-44 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1.0 -
2025-02-15 @ Maryland Eastern Sho W 70-48 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0 -
2025-02-03 vs North Carolina Centr W 88-52 18 3-5 0-0 7-10 6 2 0 1 1 13 16.0 -
2025-02-01 vs South Carolina State W 83-37 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0.0 -
2025-01-18 vs Virginia Lynchburg D W 123-51 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 6 7.0 -
2025-01-13 @ Morgan State Lady Be W 77-69 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1.0 -
2025-01-11 vs Coppin State Eagles W 82-66 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 -
2025-01-06 @ Delaware State Horne W 94-54 15 1-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 2.0 -
2025-01-04 vs Maryland Eastern Sho W 72-54 8 0-1 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 2 3.0 -
2024-12-29 @ Auburn Tigers W 63-57 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 4 1.0 -
2024-12-21 @ North Carolina Tar H L 47-90 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 1 0 1 7.0 -
2024-12-15 @ North Carolina A&T A W 68-59 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1.0 -
2024-12-12 vs Shaw Bears W 90-57 11 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 6 5.0 -
2024-12-07 vs Saint Louis Billiken W 75-66 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 1 1 3 2.0 -
2024-11-30 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 54-55 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1.0 -
2024-11-29 vs Wyoming Cowgirls W 56-47 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 -
2024-11-28 vs Washington State Cou L 60-68 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1.0 -
2024-11-23 @ UNC Wilmington Seaha W 71-52 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3.0 -
2024-11-20 vs Radford Highlanders W 71-65 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0.0 -
2024-11-16 @ Hampton Lady Pirates W 62-53 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0.0 -
2024-11-13 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 58-68 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1.0 -