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Denae Carter

Denae Carter

Team: Villanova Wildcats
Position: F

Season Averages β€” 2025-2026

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 32 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
32 20.7 8.6 5.0 2.2 1.5 1.2 1.8 7.0 9.7 52.5% 43.5% 65.3%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 28 games, 553.3 minutes, 1731.6 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 28 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
+4.35 142 553 1731 +188 +6.7 +13.6

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.49 | Poss 1732 More β†’ +4.35 (#142) SE 2.49 | Poss 1732
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off +2.66 | Def +1.70 More β†’ +4.35 (#142) Off +2.66 | Def +1.70
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G +6.7 | PM/40 +13.6 More β†’ +10.86 (#355) PM/G +6.7 | PM/40 +13.6
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (-0.55, +4.65) | Norm 4.68 More β†’ 4.922 (#1462) Vec (-0.55, +4.65) | Norm 4.68
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For +1.78 | Prevent +1.19 | Net +2.98 | Min 600 More β†’ +1.78 (#532) Pts For +1.78 | Prevent +1.19 | Net +2.98 | Min 600
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For +1.78 | Prevent +1.19 | Net +2.98 | Min 600 More β†’ +1.19 (#639) Pts For +1.78 | Prevent +1.19 | Net +2.98 | Min 600
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For +1.78 | Prevent +1.19 | Net +2.98 | Min 600 More β†’ +2.98 (#482) Pts For +1.78 | Prevent +1.19 | Net +2.98 | Min 600
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For -0.24 | Prevent +0.55 | Net +0.31 | Min 600 More β†’ -0.24 (#3038) Reb For -0.24 | Prevent +0.55 | Net +0.31 | Min 600
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For -0.24 | Prevent +0.55 | Net +0.31 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.55 (#788) Reb For -0.24 | Prevent +0.55 | Net +0.31 | Min 600
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.49 | Prevent +0.58 | Net +0.09 | Min 600 More β†’ -0.49 (#3738) OReb For -0.49 | Prevent +0.58 | Net +0.09 | Min 600
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.49 | Prevent +0.58 | Net +0.09 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.58 (#302) OReb For -0.49 | Prevent +0.58 | Net +0.09 | Min 600
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For -0.49 | Prevent +0.58 | Net +0.09 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.09 (#1959) OReb For -0.49 | Prevent +0.58 | Net +0.09 | Min 600
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For +0.25 | Prevent -0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.25 (#1187) DReb For +0.25 | Prevent -0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 600
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For +0.25 | Prevent -0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 600 More β†’ -0.03 (#2348) DReb For +0.25 | Prevent -0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 600
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For +0.25 | Prevent -0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.22 (#1566) DReb For +0.25 | Prevent -0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 600
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For -0.24 | Prevent +0.55 | Net +0.31 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.31 (#1675) Reb For -0.24 | Prevent +0.55 | Net +0.31 | Min 600
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For +1.24 | Prevent +0.77 | Net +2.01 | Min 600 More β†’ +1.24 (#173) Ast For +1.24 | Prevent +0.77 | Net +2.01 | Min 600
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For +1.24 | Prevent +0.77 | Net +2.01 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.77 (#294) Ast For +1.24 | Prevent +0.77 | Net +2.01 | Min 600
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For +1.24 | Prevent +0.77 | Net +2.01 | Min 600 More β†’ +2.01 (#107) Ast For +1.24 | Prevent +0.77 | Net +2.01 | Min 600
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.63 | Prevent +0.24 | Net +0.87 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.63 (#281) 3PM For +0.63 | Prevent +0.24 | Net +0.87 | Min 600
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.63 | Prevent +0.24 | Net +0.87 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.24 (#654) 3PM For +0.63 | Prevent +0.24 | Net +0.87 | Min 600
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For +0.63 | Prevent +0.24 | Net +0.87 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.87 (#228) 3PM For +0.63 | Prevent +0.24 | Net +0.87 | Min 600
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For +0.69 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +1.12 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.69 (#355) Stocks For +0.69 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +1.12 | Min 600
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For +0.69 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +1.12 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.42 (#577) Stocks For +0.69 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +1.12 | Min 600
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For +0.69 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +1.12 | Min 600 More β†’ +1.12 (#295) Stocks For +0.69 | Prevent +0.42 | Net +1.12 | Min 600
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For +0.76 | Prevent +0.34 | Net +1.09 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.76 (#392) TOV For +0.76 | Prevent +0.34 | Net +1.09 | Min 600
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For +0.76 | Prevent +0.34 | Net +1.09 | Min 600 More β†’ +0.34 (#889) TOV For +0.76 | Prevent +0.34 | Net +1.09 | Min 600
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For +0.76 | Prevent +0.34 | Net +1.09 | Min 600 More β†’ +1.09 (#382) TOV For +0.76 | Prevent +0.34 | Net +1.09 | Min 600

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

117/223 FG (52.5%), 244 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed
71%70/98 38%34/89 50%2/4 25%1/4 0%0/5 33%1/3 0%0/1 44%4/9 67%2/3 43%3/7
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 70 98 71.4 58.6 +12.8 43.9
Paint (non-RA) 34 89 38.2 40.9 -2.7 39.9
Mid-range left 2 4 50.0 32.4 +17.6 1.8
Mid-range center 1 4 25.0 35.8 -10.8 1.8
Mid-range right 0 5 0.0 31.8 -31.8 2.2
Left corner 3 1 3 33.3 33.0 +0.3 1.3
Right corner 3 0 1 0.0 32.6 -32.6 0.4
Above-break 3 left 4 9 44.4 30.7 +13.7 4.0
Above-break 3 center 2 3 66.7 30.4 +36.3 1.3
Above-break 3 right 3 7 42.9 30.9 +12.0 3.1

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 32 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW Villanova Wildcats 32 20.7 8.6 5.0 2.2 1.5 1.2 1.8 7.0 9.7 52.5% 43.5% 65.3% 56.4 54.7
2024-2025 NCAAW Villanova Wildcats 35 21.9 8.6 6.5 1.4 0.9 1.2 1.8 7.6 9.3 45.3% 20.0% 65.2% 49.2 45.5
2022-2023 NCAAW Mississippi State Bulldogs 28 15.2 4.2 4.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 1.2 3.2 6.4 48.3% 0.0% 54.4% 51.3 48.3
2021-2022 NCAAW Mississippi State Bulldogs 19 24.6 6.1 8.1 0.8 1.0 2.1 1.3 4.9 12.0 50.5% 0.0% 52.4% 52.0 50.5

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 32 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-20 @ Texas Tech Lady Raid L 52-57 36 1-7 1-4 1-2 4 3 2 2 3 4 5.0 -
2026-03-09 @ UConn Huskies L 51-90 24 2-5 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 6 3.0 -0.3
2026-03-08 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 62-48 18 4-9 1-3 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 11 7.0 +13.7
2026-03-07 vs Providence Friars W 73-65 22 5-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 2 2 10 11.0 -7.3
2026-02-26 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 82-52 18 6-12 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 1 5 13 4.0 +8.5
2026-02-22 vs Marquette Golden Eag W 64-39 24 6-12 0-1 2-3 5 2 3 1 4 14 9.0 +15.5
2026-02-18 vs UConn Huskies L 69-83 20 8-9 3-3 2-3 2 0 3 3 2 21 18.0 +14.4
2026-02-15 @ Creighton Bluejays W 74-64 22 7-10 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 0 1 16 17.0 -
2026-02-11 @ Xavier Musketeers W 78-38 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 6 5.0 +19.8
2026-02-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 67-55 21 4-6 0-0 3-5 3 6 3 1 1 11 17.0 +19.1
2026-02-04 @ Butler Bulldogs W 67-57 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 6 7.0 -0.7
2026-01-31 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 69-56 13 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 2.0 -
2026-01-27 vs Providence Friars W 83-68 19 1-6 0-1 0-0 7 5 1 1 0 2 10.0 +5.0
2026-01-18 vs Butler Bulldogs W 73-65 18 6-10 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 0 3 15 9.0 +1.4
2026-01-15 @ UConn Huskies L 50-99 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 3 4.0 -10.1
2026-01-11 @ Providence Friars W 85-55 21 2-9 0-1 2-2 8 7 3 1 0 6 16.0 +15.6
2026-01-08 vs Xavier Musketeers W 67-50 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 4 2 1 6 12.0 +6.2
2026-01-04 @ Marquette Golden Eag L 69-85 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 5 4 2 7.0 -11.5
2026-01-01 vs Creighton Bluejays W 74-64 23 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 10 7.0 -
2025-12-29 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 81-48 24 4-7 0-0 1-2 7 3 2 4 0 9 18.0 -
2025-12-22 vs St. John's Red Storm W 85-48 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 5 2 1 0 10 19.0 +26.9
2025-12-19 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 72-55 21 3-3 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 1 1 6 9.0 +2.2
2025-12-07 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 76-70 26 5-11 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 3 2 10 10.0 -
2025-12-04 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 76-69 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 2 2 4 8.0 -2.1
2025-12-01 @ West Virginia Mounta W 81-59 18 3-8 0-1 0-1 3 3 1 2 1 6 6.0 -
2025-11-25 @ La Salle Explorers W 66-54 28 3-6 0-0 3-6 6 1 3 1 3 9 11.0 +3.5
2025-11-22 vs Temple Owls W 88-58 22 7-9 1-1 2-2 3 1 5 1 1 17 17.0 +14.9
2025-11-16 @ James Madison Dukes W 84-73 16 3-5 0-0 2-5 5 1 0 0 1 8 8.0 +8.5
2025-11-12 vs Princeton Tigers L 68-73 19 4-6 0-0 4-5 4 3 1 0 2 12 12.0 -
2025-11-09 vs VCU Rams W 74-40 18 5-6 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 3 12 11.0 -
2025-11-05 vs Fairfield Stags L 63-75 17 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 0.0 -11.2
2025-11-03 vs Lafayette Leopards W 70-38 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 1 2 6 11.0 +5.4