Paisley Specht
Team: Northern Colorado
Position: F
Career Averages
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 36 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Nums/G | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 10.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 18.0% | 15.0% | 43.8% |
Plus/minus sample — 2023-2024: 18 games, 190.0 minutes, 601.4 possessions. Model plus/minus and minutes cover qualified stints; a counted game can contain only part of a player's game. A model's games can differ from Season Averages: a run can include playoff games, or only the games with play-by-play.
Advanced Stats
Model outputs use a separate game sample from the counting statistics. Model output season: 2023-2024. Plus/minus scope: 18 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.86 | 2250 | -5 | -0.3 | -1.1 |
RAPM sample — 2023-2024: 190.0 minutes, 601.4 possessions.
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus, points per 40 minutes above average (a per-100-possession fit scaled by 0.70). Legacy-run units are unverified.
Stat models — 2023-2024
Leaderboards and Box vs LineupEach family in both forms, side by side: the rating, then its percentile among the season's players with that form (the bar). Lineup RAPM: on-court possessions from play-by-play, one regularized regression over the season. Box Elo: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Each is an on-floor team-rate impact, not the player's own count. Lineup RAPM is not published for 2023-2024 (apart from RAPM itself).
| Family | Lineup RAPM | %ile | Box Elo | %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | -0.9 | 51 | -0.9 | 35 |
| Threes | not published | -0.5 | 34 | |
| Assists | not published | -0.7 | 33 | |
| OReb | not published | 0.6 | 52 | |
| DReb | not published | -0.9 | 29 | |
| Stocks | not published | 1.7 | 68 | |
| Turnovers | not published | 0.5 | 49 | |
Points' Lineup RAPM is RAPM itself. Held-out scores, a Box vs Lineup scatter and each form's team share: stat models.
Model Outputs — 2023-2024
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -0.86 (#2250) | SE 2.92 | Poss 601 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -0.86 (#2250) | Off -0.75 | Def -0.11 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | -0.83 (#2178) | PM/G -0.3 | PM/40 -1.1 |
| Points Box Elo (offense) Points Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.99 (#1759) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +0.99 | Prevent -1.89 | Net -0.90 | Min 216 |
| Points Box Elo (defense) Points Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -1.89 (#2535) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +0.99 | Prevent -1.89 | Net -0.90 | Min 216 |
| Points Box Elo Points Box Elo Net point-differential Box Elo from points created plus points prevented. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.90 (#2184) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +0.99 | Prevent -1.89 | Net -0.90 | Min 216 |
| OReb Box Elo OReb Box Elo Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.58 (#1612) | Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% +0.58 | DReb% -0.91 | Min 216 |
| DReb Box Elo DReb Box Elo Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.91 (#2384) | Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% +0.58 | DReb% -0.91 | Min 216 |
| Assists Box Elo (offense) Assists Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.82 (#2317) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -0.82 | Prevent +0.15 | Net -0.67 | Min 216 |
| Assists Box Elo (defense) Assists Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.15 (#1925) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -0.82 | Prevent +0.15 | Net -0.67 | Min 216 |
| Assists Box Elo Assists Box Elo Net assist Box Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.67 (#2253) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -0.82 | Prevent +0.15 | Net -0.67 | Min 216 |
| Threes Box Elo (offense) Threes Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.30 (#1999) | Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For -0.30 | Prevent -0.18 | Net -0.48 | Min 216 |
| Threes Box Elo (defense) Threes Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.18 (#2206) | Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For -0.30 | Prevent -0.18 | Net -0.48 | Min 216 |
| Threes Box Elo Threes Box Elo Net made-three Box Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.48 (#2199) | Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For -0.30 | Prevent -0.18 | Net -0.48 | Min 216 |
| Stocks Box Elo (offense) Stocks Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +1.24 (#906) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +1.24 | Prevent +0.45 | Net +1.68 | Min 216 |
| Stocks Box Elo (defense) Stocks Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.45 (#1577) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +1.24 | Prevent +0.45 | Net +1.68 | Min 216 |
| Stocks Box Elo Stocks Box Elo Net stocks Box Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +1.68 (#1084) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +1.24 | Prevent +0.45 | Net +1.68 | Min 216 |
| Turnovers Box Elo (ball security) Turnovers Box Elo (ball security) Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -0.30 (#2312) | Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.30 | Prevent +0.76 | Net +0.46 | Min 216 |
| Turnovers Box Elo (forcing) Turnovers Box Elo (forcing) Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.76 (#1135) | Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.30 | Prevent +0.76 | Net +0.46 | Min 216 |
| Turnovers Box Elo Turnovers Box Elo Net turnover Box Elo from ball security plus turnover force. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.46 (#1708) | Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.30 | Prevent +0.76 | Net +0.46 | Min 216 |
League scatter
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 36 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Nums/G | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-2024 | NCAAW | Northern Colorado | 21 | 10.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 42.9% | 25.8 | 22.9 |
| 2022-2023 | NCAAW | Northern Colorado | 15 | 10.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 19.2% | 0.0% | 44.4% | 23.4 | 19.2 |
Advanced: Nums/G = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA per game, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Game Log — 2023-2024
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 36 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.
The latest season's 21 of 36 career games; each season's games are under its link above.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-11 | @ | Montana State Bobcats | L | 44-47 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2024-03-04 | vs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | L | 61-67 | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -2.3 |
| 2024-03-02 | vs | Idaho State Bengals | W | 63-51 | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2.0 | +2.8 |
| 2024-02-29 | vs | Weber State Wildcats | W | 72-64 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.0 | +1.5 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ | Eastern Washington Eagles | L | 63-68 | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +3.5 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ | Idaho Vandals | W | 57-38 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | -2.2 |
| 2024-02-15 | vs | Portland State Vikings | W | 65-48 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.4 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Montana Lady Griz | L | 73-82 | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | +15.5 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Weber State Wildcats | W | 73-63 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.4 |
| 2024-02-01 | @ | Idaho State Bengals | L | 56-76 | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -4.0 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Idaho Vandals | L | 56-60 | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | -9.8 |
| 2024-01-25 | vs | Eastern Washington Eagles | L | 62-68 | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.0 | +0.1 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Portland State Vikings | W | 71-54 | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | -5.3 |
| 2024-01-18 | @ | Sacramento State Hornets | W | 72-59 | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | -8.1 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Denver Pioneers | W | 59-56 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.2 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Air Force Falcons | L | 60-68 | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.0 | +0.1 |
| 2023-12-03 | vs | Northern New Mexico Eagles | W | 96-37 | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | vs | Boston University Terriers | L | 52-63 | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | +3.0 |
| 2023-11-20 | vs | North Dakota State Bison | L | 60-67 | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.0 | +5.1 |
| 2023-11-14 | @ | South Dakota Coyotes | L | 59-72 | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3.0 | +4.8 |
| 2023-11-06 | vs | Hastings Broncos | W | 86-56 | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | - |