Justin Connolly
Team: Merrimack Warriors
Position: F
Season Averages — 2021-2022
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 19 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 11.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 42.9% | - | 40.0% |
Plus/minus sample — 2021-2022: 18 games, 207.8 minutes, 631.9 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2021-2022. Plus/minus scope: 18 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5.29 | 4933 | 207 | 631 | -89 | -4.9 | -17.1 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2021-2022
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -5.29 (#4933) | SE 3.17 | Poss 632 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -5.29 (#4933) | Off -3.31 | Def -1.98 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | -14.08 (#3994) | PM/G -4.9 | PM/40 -17.1 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | -2.26 (#2471) | Pts For -2.26 | Prevent +13.12 | Net +10.86 | Min 163 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | +13.12 (#1508) | Pts For -2.26 | Prevent +13.12 | Net +10.86 | Min 163 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | +10.86 (#1646) | Pts For -2.26 | Prevent +13.12 | Net +10.86 | Min 163 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More → | -2.01 (#2620) | Reb For -2.01 | Prevent +4.53 | Net +2.53 | Min 163 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More → | +4.53 (#1750) | Reb For -2.01 | Prevent +4.53 | Net +2.53 | Min 163 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More → | +0.01 (#1404) | OReb For +0.01 | Prevent -0.07 | Net -0.06 | Min 163 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More → | -0.07 (#2916) | OReb For +0.01 | Prevent -0.07 | Net -0.06 | Min 163 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More → | -0.06 (#3023) | OReb For +0.01 | Prevent -0.07 | Net -0.06 | Min 163 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More → | +0.01 (#1478) | DReb For +0.01 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.21 | Min 163 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More → | -0.23 (#2994) | DReb For +0.01 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.21 | Min 163 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More → | -0.21 (#3563) | DReb For +0.01 | Prevent -0.23 | Net -0.21 | Min 163 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More → | +2.53 (#2153) | Reb For -2.01 | Prevent +4.53 | Net +2.53 | Min 163 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | -0.60 (#2455) | Ast For -0.60 | Prevent +1.99 | Net +1.40 | Min 163 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | +1.99 (#1714) | Ast For -0.60 | Prevent +1.99 | Net +1.40 | Min 163 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | +1.40 (#2075) | Ast For -0.60 | Prevent +1.99 | Net +1.40 | Min 163 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | +0.06 (#1390) | 3PM For +0.06 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.04 | Min 163 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | -0.10 (#3048) | 3PM For +0.06 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.04 | Min 163 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | -0.04 (#2829) | 3PM For +0.06 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.04 | Min 163 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | +2.48 (#841) | Stocks For +2.48 | Prevent +1.61 | Net +4.09 | Min 163 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | +1.61 (#1628) | Stocks For +2.48 | Prevent +1.61 | Net +4.09 | Min 163 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | +4.09 (#1015) | Stocks For +2.48 | Prevent +1.61 | Net +4.09 | Min 163 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | -0.13 (#1997) | TOV For -0.13 | Prevent -1.65 | Net -1.78 | Min 163 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | -1.65 (#2411) | TOV For -0.13 | Prevent -1.65 | Net -1.78 | Min 163 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | -1.78 (#2252) | TOV For -0.13 | Prevent -1.65 | Net -1.78 | Min 163 |
Shot Chart — 2021-2022
1/1 FG (100.0%), 2 points from the field · ESPN shot locations
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range left | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range center | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range right | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Left corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Above-break 3 left | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Above-break 3 center | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
| Above-break 3 right | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 19 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2022 | NCAAM | Merrimack Warriors | 19 | 11.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 42.9% | - | 40.0% | 43.5 | 42.9 |
| 2020-2021 | NCAAM | Wagner Seahawks | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2020-2021 | NCAAM | St. Francis Brooklyn | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0% | - | 50.0% | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| 2020-2021 | NCAAM | Central Connecticut | 2 | 13.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2020-2021 | NCAAM | Merrimack Warriors | 2 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 50.0% | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 19 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-23 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | L | 57-71 | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.0 | - |
| 2022-01-21 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 63-79 | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.0 | - |
| 2022-01-17 | vs | Mount St. Mary's Mou | L | 50-57 | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | - |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Saint Francis Red Wo | L | 46-62 | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2021-12-31 | vs | Long Island Universi | W | 82-77 | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2021-12-29 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 74-64 | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4.0 | - |
| 2021-12-21 | @ | Maine Black Bears | W | 49-47 | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.0 | - |
| 2021-12-12 | @ | Indiana Hoosiers | L | 49-81 | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2021-12-09 | @ | Gonzaga Bulldogs | L | 55-80 | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.0 | - |
| 2021-12-07 | vs | Brown Bears | L | 56-76 | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | UMass Lowell River H | L | 57-61 | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.0 | - |
| 2021-11-28 | @ | Boston University Te | L | 60-61 | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2021-11-23 | vs | Hartford Hawks | W | 75-60 | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3.0 | - |
| 2021-11-21 | @ | Virginia Tech Hokies | L | 43-72 | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | - |
| 2021-11-19 | vs | Lehigh Mountain Hawk | W | 55-45 | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | - |
| 2021-11-17 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 51-74 | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.0 | - |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Rutgers Scarlet Knig | L | 35-48 | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | - |
| 2021-11-11 | @ | NJIT Highlanders | W | 61-54 | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5.0 | - |
| 2021-11-09 | vs | Emerson Lions | W | 77-48 | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4.0 | - |