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Model Card

Uses a log-style adjustment so blowouts do not dominate as hard as they do in raw margin style models. This is the closest current proxy for the log(margin) family discussed in planning.

Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.

Output Coverage

Stored site-output rows for this model.