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Team model

Efficiency

Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings.

Status implemented Short Name Eff
Rating Style probability Where Shown teams rankings, team pages, model performance

Model Card

Transforms raw scoring into points-per-possession style efficiency before building win-strength estimates. This is the pace-adjusted baseline before opponent correction.

Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.

Output Coverage

Stored site-output rows for this model.

League Season Rows
WNBA 2025 17
WNBA 2024-2025 20
NCAAWD3 2025-2026 603
NCAAWD3 2024-2025 439
NCAAWD2 2025-2026 537
NCAAWD2 2024-2025 391
NCAAW 2025-2026 363
NCAAW 2024-2025 362
NCAAMD3 2025-2026 68
NCAAMD3 2024-2025 502
NCAAMD2 2025-2026 288
NCAAMD2 2024-2025 422
NCAAM 2024-2025 364
NCAAM 2023-2024 365
NCAAM 2022-2023 363
NCAAM 2021-2022 346
NCAAM 2020-2021 73
NCAAM 2019-2020 79
NCAAM 2018-2019 80
NCAAM 2017-2018 84
NCAAM 2016-2017 93
NCAAM 2015-2016 92
NCAAM 2014-2015 72
NCAAM 2013-2014 88
NCAAM 2012-2013 326
NCAAM 2011-2012 277
NCAAM 2010-2011 335
NCAAM 2009-2010 320
NCAAM 2008-2009 277
NCAAM 2007-2008 298
NCAAM 2006-2007 276
NCAAM 2005-2006 320
NCAAM 2004-2005 275
NCAAM 2003-2004 9
NBA 2025-2026 28
NBA 2024-2025 30
NBA 2023-2024 30
NBA 2022-2023 30
NBA 2021-2022 30
NBA 2020-2021 30
NBA 2019-2020 30
GLEAGUE 2025-2026 29
GLEAGUE 2024-2025 31
EUROLEAGUE 2025-2026 20
EUROLEAGUE 2024-2025 18
EUROCUP 2025-2026 20
EUROCUP 2024-2025 20
EUROCUP 2020-2021 24