Team model
Adjusted Efficiency
Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components.
| Status | implemented | Short Name | PythAdj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rating Style | probability | Where Shown | teams rankings, team pages, model performance |
Model Card
Best current in-repo adjusted-efficiency baseline: adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, opponent correction, and pythagorean-style conversion back to win strength.
Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.
Output Coverage
Stored site-output rows for this model.
| League | Season | Rows |
|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 2025 | 17 |
| WNBA | 2024-2025 | 20 |
| NCAAWD3 | 2025-2026 | 763 |
| NCAAWD3 | 2024-2025 | 763 |
| NCAAWD2 | 2025-2026 | 772 |
| NCAAWD2 | 2024-2025 | 772 |
| NCAAW | 2025-2026 | 363 |
| NCAAW | 2024-2025 | 362 |
| NCAAW | 2023-2024 | 110 |
| NCAAMD3 | 2025-2026 | 797 |
| NCAAMD3 | 2024-2025 | 797 |
| NCAAMD2 | 2025-2026 | 770 |
| NCAAMD2 | 2024-2025 | 770 |
| NCAAM | 2024-2025 | 364 |
| NCAAM | 2023-2024 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2022-2023 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2021-2022 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2020-2021 | 107 |
| NCAAM | 2019-2020 | 113 |
| NCAAM | 2018-2019 | 116 |
| NCAAM | 2017-2018 | 111 |
| NCAAM | 2016-2017 | 113 |
| NCAAM | 2015-2016 | 111 |
| NCAAM | 2014-2015 | 116 |
| NCAAM | 2013-2014 | 115 |
| NCAAM | 2012-2013 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2011-2012 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2010-2011 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2009-2010 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2008-2009 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2007-2008 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2006-2007 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2005-2006 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2004-2005 | 118 |
| NCAAM | 2003-2004 | 118 |
| NBA | 2025-2026 | 28 |
| NBA | 2024-2025 | 30 |
| NBA | 2023-2024 | 30 |
| NBA | 2022-2023 | 30 |
| NBA | 2021-2022 | 30 |
| NBA | 2020-2021 | 30 |
| NBA | 2019-2020 | 30 |
| GLEAGUE | 2025-2026 | 31 |
| GLEAGUE | 2024-2025 | 31 |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2025-2026 | 20 |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2024-2025 | 18 |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2023-2024 | 18 |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2022-2023 | 18 |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2021-2022 | 18 |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2020-2021 | 18 |
| EUROCUP | 2025-2026 | 20 |
| EUROCUP | 2024-2025 | 20 |
| EUROCUP | 2020-2021 | 24 |