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Team model

Adjusted Efficiency

Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components.

Status implemented Short Name PythAdj
Rating Style probability Where Shown teams rankings, team pages, model performance

Model Card

Best current in-repo adjusted-efficiency baseline: adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, opponent correction, and pythagorean-style conversion back to win strength.

Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.

Output Coverage

Stored site-output rows for this model.

League Season Rows
WNBA 2025 17
WNBA 2024-2025 20
NCAAWD3 2025-2026 763
NCAAWD3 2024-2025 763
NCAAWD2 2025-2026 772
NCAAWD2 2024-2025 772
NCAAW 2025-2026 363
NCAAW 2024-2025 362
NCAAW 2023-2024 110
NCAAMD3 2025-2026 797
NCAAMD3 2024-2025 797
NCAAMD2 2025-2026 770
NCAAMD2 2024-2025 770
NCAAM 2024-2025 364
NCAAM 2023-2024 118
NCAAM 2022-2023 118
NCAAM 2021-2022 118
NCAAM 2020-2021 107
NCAAM 2019-2020 113
NCAAM 2018-2019 116
NCAAM 2017-2018 111
NCAAM 2016-2017 113
NCAAM 2015-2016 111
NCAAM 2014-2015 116
NCAAM 2013-2014 115
NCAAM 2012-2013 118
NCAAM 2011-2012 118
NCAAM 2010-2011 118
NCAAM 2009-2010 118
NCAAM 2008-2009 118
NCAAM 2007-2008 118
NCAAM 2006-2007 118
NCAAM 2005-2006 118
NCAAM 2004-2005 118
NCAAM 2003-2004 118
NBA 2025-2026 28
NBA 2024-2025 30
NBA 2023-2024 30
NBA 2022-2023 30
NBA 2021-2022 30
NBA 2020-2021 30
NBA 2019-2020 30
GLEAGUE 2025-2026 31
GLEAGUE 2024-2025 31
EUROLEAGUE 2025-2026 20
EUROLEAGUE 2024-2025 18
EUROLEAGUE 2023-2024 18
EUROLEAGUE 2022-2023 18
EUROLEAGUE 2021-2022 18
EUROLEAGUE 2020-2021 18
EUROCUP 2025-2026 20
EUROCUP 2024-2025 20
EUROCUP 2020-2021 24