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Model Card

Same two-parameter points model as Points Off/Def, but with recency weighting. Useful for testing whether newer offensive and defensive form should move faster than season-long estimates.

Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.

Output Coverage

Stored site-output rows for this model.