Team model
Points Off/Def
Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters.
| Status | implemented | Short Name | PtsOD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rating Style | probability | Where Shown | teams rankings, team pages, model performance |
Model Card
Model of the form points_i = intercept + off_i + def_j + beta_home. This is the two-parameter team baseline without pace adjustment.
Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.
Output Coverage
Stored site-output rows for this model.
| League | Season | Rows |
|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 2025 | 17 |
| NCAAWD3 | 2025-2026 | 763 |
| NCAAWD3 | 2024-2025 | 763 |
| NCAAWD2 | 2025-2026 | 772 |
| NCAAWD2 | 2024-2025 | 772 |
| NCAAW | 2025-2026 | 363 |
| NCAAW | 2024-2025 | 362 |
| NCAAMD3 | 2025-2026 | 797 |
| NCAAMD3 | 2024-2025 | 797 |
| NCAAMD2 | 2025-2026 | 770 |
| NCAAMD2 | 2024-2025 | 770 |
| NCAAM | 2025-2026 | 365 |
| NCAAM | 2024-2025 | 364 |
| NBA | 2025-2026 | 28 |
| NBA | 2024-2025 | 30 |
| NBA | 2023-2024 | 30 |
| NBA | 2022-2023 | 30 |
| NBA | 2021-2022 | 30 |
| NBA | 2020-2021 | 30 |
| NBA | 2019-2020 | 30 |
| GLEAGUE | 2025-2026 | 31 |
| GLEAGUE | 2024-2025 | 31 |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2025-2026 | 20 |
| EUROCUP | 2025-2026 | 20 |
| EUROCUP | 2020-2021 | 24 |