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Model Card

Simple player baseline: no teammate or opponent adjustment, just observed plus/minus scaled to possession volume.

Validation is computed for team models, APM, RAPM and the event models. This page shows output coverage and site placement for this model.

Selected League / Season

Change league with the League selector at the top of the page.

Held-out player predictions

Plot Plus/Minus Rate against any counting stat (one point per player; choose any season with a served list).

No current held-out results for this selection. Held-out player validation covers APM, RAPM and the event models.

Output Coverage

Rows in each model's current published run (or legacy rows where no run is selected).