🐻⬇️🏀

Player model

Player Segment Elo

Streaming Elo-style player updates from on/off stint outcomes.

Status implemented Short Name SegElo
Rating Style impact Where Shown catalog only

Model Card

Online segment-margin model with one scalar per player, updated stint by stint from lineup scoring outcomes. This is the simplest streaming analogue to batch RAPM.

Validation is computed for team models, APM, RAPM and the event models. This page shows output coverage and site placement for this model.

Selected League / Season

Change league with the League selector at the top of the page.

Season

Held-out player predictions

Plot Player Segment Elo against any counting stat (one point per player, every season with a served list).

No current held-out results for this selection. Held-out player validation covers APM, RAPM and the event models.