🐻⬇️🏀

Team model

Home Team Baseline

Always favor the home team with a fixed prior.

Model Performance Catalog Entry
Status implemented Short Name Home
Rating Style probability Where Shown model performance

Model Card

Intentional dumb baseline. Useful only to ensure richer models beat a naive home-court rule.

Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.