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Model Card

Glicko-style paired-comparison model with team uncertainty that expands during idle stretches and tightens with new games. This is the first explicit temporal paired-comparison model beyond static BT plus recency weighting.

Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.

Output Coverage

Stored site-output rows for this model.