Team model
Avg Margin Baseline
Predict from simple average scoring margin in the training window.
| Status | implemented | Short Name | AvgMarg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rating Style | probability | Where Shown | model performance |
Model Card
Training-only average margin baseline. Another cheap sanity check for whether a richer team model adds signal beyond raw per-game margin.
Validation here is out of sample: each week of a season is predicted by models refit on the season's earlier games, and every model is scored on the same games. Weekly fits use a preseason-prior blend for eligible families where available; ensembles use those components. Remaining families are scored as fit. Current scope: All Games. All scored games in the selected league and season. AP Poll is excluded here.
Selected League / Season
Change league with the League selector at the top of the page.
| Full-season AUC | 0.749 (#14 of 16) · 181 games |
|---|---|
| Full-season log loss | 0.592 |
| Final-week AUC | 1.000 (#1) · 5 games |
Held-out game predictions
Weekly out-of-sample games in the comparable full-season cohort. Each point is a game: the predicted probability that team 1 wins against team 1's actual margin, so a surprise sits high-left or low-right. Plot: 181 of 181 games (up to 25 largest errors and an even sample of the rest); calibration uses all 181 games. Select a point to inspect its game and prediction; a verified game link appears when available. Browse every game by surprise.
Select a point to inspect its game.
Calibration by predicted probability
| Prediction range | Games | Mean predicted win probability | Observed win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10% | 1 | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| 10–20% | 8 | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 20–30% | 18 | 25.9% | 22.2% |
| 30–40% | 37 | 35.0% | 29.7% |
| 40–50% | 42 | 44.4% | 31.0% |
| 50–60% | 27 | 55.1% | 59.3% |
| 60–70% | 37 | 64.5% | 67.6% |
| 70–80% | 9 | 74.8% | 77.8% |
| 80–90% | 2 | 81.3% | 100.0% |
Largest errors
| Date | Game (team 1 first) | Score | Predicted team 1 win | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000-07-11 | Portland Fire vs Los Angeles Sparks | 80–77 | 21.4% | 1 |
| 2000-07-05 | Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx | 67–60 | 22.3% | 1 |
| 2000-07-23 | Houston Comets vs New York Liberty | 64–69 | 74.5% | 0 |
| 2000-07-21 | Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx | 67–61 | 26.7% | 1 |
| 2000-08-06 | Miami Sol vs New York Liberty | 57–41 | 27.9% | 1 |
| 2000-06-28 | Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty | 69–82 | 72.0% | 0 |
| 2000-08-09 | Utah Starzz vs Los Angeles Sparks | 89–77 | 30.7% | 1 |
| 2000-07-14 | Portland Fire vs Minnesota Lynx | 65–54 | 31.3% | 1 |
| 2000-08-01 | Seattle Storm vs Indiana Fever | 66–60 | 32.6% | 1 |
| 2000-07-07 | Cleveland Rockers vs Miami Sol | 46–49 | 67.2% | 0 |
| 2000-07-15 | Charlotte Sting vs Washington Mystics | 76–73 | 32.9% | 1 |
| 2000-07-15 | Sacramento Monarchs vs Utah Starzz | 69–75 | 65.5% | 0 |
| 2000-08-09 | Detroit Shock vs New York Liberty | 66–63 | 34.9% | 1 |
| 2000-07-26 | Charlotte Sting vs Washington Mystics | 87–80 | 35.2% | 1 |
| 2000-08-06 | Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm | 58–66 | 64.8% | 0 |
| 2000-07-14 | Houston Comets vs Los Angeles Sparks | 58–63 | 64.6% | 0 |
| 2000-06-26 | Sacramento Monarchs vs Utah Starzz | 80–89 | 64.4% | 0 |
| 2000-06-28 | Portland Fire vs Cleveland Rockers | 80–69 | 36.0% | 1 |
| 2000-07-14 | Phoenix Mercury vs Utah Starzz | 84–87 | 63.7% | 0 |
| 2000-08-05 | Charlotte Sting vs Utah Starzz | 84–82 | 36.5% | 1 |
| 2000-07-21 | Utah Starzz vs Miami Sol | 65–76 | 63.0% | 0 |
| 2000-08-04 | Cleveland Rockers vs Indiana Fever | 75–87 | 62.7% | 0 |
| 2000-06-25 | Phoenix Mercury vs Cleveland Rockers | 61–64 | 62.5% | 0 |
| 2000-07-09 | Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics | 75–58 | 37.9% | 1 |
| 2000-07-29 | Houston Comets vs Los Angeles Sparks | 74–84 | 62.0% | 0 |
Peers in WNBA 2000
Every model on the same games, ordered by full-season AUC.
| Model | AUC | Rank | LogLoss | AUC final wk | Final wk rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 0.818 | #1 | 0.565 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Margin Recency | 0.810 | #2 | 0.567 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.809 | #3 | 0.562 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.804 | #4 | 0.565 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend | 0.803 | #5 | 0.537 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Elo | 0.801 | #6 | 0.550 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.781 | #7 | 0.567 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.780 | #8 | 0.568 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry | 0.771 | #9 | 0.570 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.766 | #10 | 0.572 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 0.761 | #11 | 0.583 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.758 | #12 | 0.578 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.758 | #13 | 0.578 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Avg Margin Baseline | 0.749 | #14 | 0.592 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Pythagorean | 0.736 | #15 | 0.613 | 1.000 | #1 |
| Home Team Baseline | 0.652 | #16 | 0.654 | 0.667 | #16 |
League × Season Summary
Avg Margin Baseline in every evaluated league-season; rank among the models on the same games.
| League | Season | AUC | Rank | LogLoss | Games | AUC final wk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 2026 | 0.759 | #11/16 | 0.593 | 291 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2025 | 0.684 | #14/16 | 0.641 | 259 | - |
| WNBA | 2024 | 0.743 | #12/16 | 0.603 | 197 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2023 | 0.740 | #12/16 | 0.596 | 206 | 0.500 (2 g) |
| WNBA | 2022 | 0.688 | #6/16 | 0.624 | 189 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2021 | 0.709 | #6/16 | 0.616 | 159 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2020 | 0.744 | #1/16 | 0.578 | 81 | - |
| WNBA | 2019 | 0.684 | #8/16 | 0.637 | 185 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2018 | 0.627 | #15/16 | 0.662 | 166 | - |
| WNBA | 2017 | 0.707 | #10/16 | 0.621 | 174 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2016 | 0.669 | #9/16 | 0.631 | 171 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2015 | 0.551 | #16/16 | 0.687 | 169 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2014 | 0.638 | #11/16 | 0.659 | 179 | - |
| WNBA | 2013 | 0.662 | #10/16 | 0.650 | 194 | - |
| WNBA | 2012 | 0.688 | #13/16 | 0.614 | 179 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2011 | 0.715 | #15/16 | 0.615 | 183 | - |
| WNBA | 2010 | 0.715 | #6/16 | 0.627 | 171 | - |
| WNBA | 2009 | 0.560 | #15/16 | 0.693 | 196 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2008 | 0.596 | #15/16 | 0.676 | 208 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| WNBA | 2007 | 0.547 | #15/16 | 0.689 | 194 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2006 | 0.678 | #15/16 | 0.642 | 205 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2005 | 0.696 | #14/16 | 0.633 | 186 | 0.500 (4 g) |
| WNBA | 2004 | 0.530 | #16/16 | 0.700 | 199 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2003 | 0.608 | #13/16 | 0.669 | 200 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2002 | 0.611 | #12/16 | 0.673 | 211 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| WNBA | 2001 | 0.712 | #11/16 | 0.631 | 194 | 0.917 (5 g) |
| WNBA | 2000 | 0.749 | #14/16 | 0.592 | 181 | 1.000 (5 g) |
| WNBA | 1999 | 0.627 | #14/16 | 0.669 | 138 | 0.667 (5 g) |
| WNBA | 1998 | 0.793 | #11/16 | 0.565 | 106 | 0.850 (16 g) |
| WNBA | 1997 | 0.600 | #11/16 | 0.671 | 78 | 0.667 (7 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2025-2026 | 0.827 | #10/11 | 0.508 | 3457 | 0.500 (5 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2024-2025 | 0.847 | #10/11 | 0.484 | 4147 | 0.875 (6 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2023-2024 | 0.857 | #9/11 | 0.474 | 3928 | - |
| NCAAWD3 | 2022-2023 | 0.839 | #13/16 | 0.493 | 3015 | 0.800 (8 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2021-2022 | 0.815 | #13/16 | 0.526 | 2328 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2020-2021 | - | - | - | 0 | 0.948 (16 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2019-2020 | 0.831 | #13/16 | 0.506 | 2953 | 0.660 (43 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2018-2019 | 0.826 | #13/16 | 0.510 | 2659 | 0.500 (7 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2017-2018 | - | - | - | 0 | - |
| NCAAWD3 | 2016-2017 | 0.829 | #13/16 | 0.504 | 2423 | - |
| NCAAWD3 | 2015-2016 | 0.814 | #13/16 | 0.531 | 1888 | - |
| NCAAWD3 | 2014-2015 | 0.809 | #11/16 | 0.535 | 1325 | - |
| NCAAWD3 | 2013-2014 | 0.830 | #13/16 | 0.507 | 2193 | 0.333 (4 g) |
| NCAAWD3 | 2012-2013 | - | - | - | 0 | - |
| NCAAWD2 | 2025-2026 | 0.816 | #10/11 | 0.524 | 3271 | 0.833 (10 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2024-2025 | 0.808 | #10/11 | 0.536 | 3507 | 0.867 (8 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2023-2024 | 0.796 | #10/11 | 0.546 | 3440 | 0.750 (7 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2022-2023 | 0.794 | #13/16 | 0.547 | 3336 | - |
| NCAAWD2 | 2021-2022 | 0.798 | #13/16 | 0.543 | 2624 | 0.900 (7 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2020-2021 | 0.794 | #10/16 | 0.553 | 1499 | - |
| NCAAWD2 | 2019-2020 | 0.815 | #13/16 | 0.524 | 3154 | 0.806 (82 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2018-2019 | 0.817 | #10/16 | 0.523 | 3137 | 0.833 (7 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2017-2018 | - | - | - | 0 | - |
| NCAAWD2 | 2016-2017 | 0.812 | #10/16 | 0.529 | 3208 | 1.000 (7 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2015-2016 | 0.771 | #13/16 | 0.577 | 1815 | - |
| NCAAWD2 | 2014-2015 | 0.774 | #11/16 | 0.571 | 1508 | - |
| NCAAWD2 | 2013-2014 | - | - | - | 0 | 1.000 (6 g) |
| NCAAWD2 | 2012-2013 | - | - | - | 0 | 0.667 (4 g) |
| NCAAW | 2025-2026 | 0.814 | #13/16 | 0.526 | 4740 | 0.625 (14 g) |
| NCAAW | 2024-2025 | 0.810 | #15/16 | 0.532 | 4691 | 0.980 (14 g) |
| NCAAW | 2023-2024 | 0.794 | #15/16 | 0.547 | 4590 | 0.556 (15 g) |
| NCAAW | 2022-2023 | 0.795 | #14/16 | 0.547 | 4508 | 0.750 (9 g) |
| NCAAW | 2021-2022 | 0.798 | #15/16 | 0.545 | 3969 | 0.750 (10 g) |
| NCAAW | 2020-2021 | 0.777 | #15/16 | 0.569 | 2838 | 0.750 (7 g) |
| NCAAW | 2019-2020 | 0.794 | #14/16 | 0.549 | 4254 | 0.843 (226 g) |
| NCAAW | 2018-2019 | 0.806 | #15/16 | 0.538 | 4209 | 0.600 (9 g) |
| NCAAW | 2017-2018 | 0.814 | #14/16 | 0.530 | 4136 | 0.357 (9 g) |
| NCAAW | 2016-2017 | 0.795 | #14/16 | 0.547 | 4117 | 0.867 (8 g) |
| NCAAW | 2015-2016 | 0.807 | #14/16 | 0.538 | 4093 | 1.000 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2014-2015 | 0.800 | #14/16 | 0.544 | 4106 | 0.625 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2013-2014 | 0.789 | #14/16 | 0.554 | 4268 | 1.000 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2012-2013 | 0.788 | #14/16 | 0.556 | 4046 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| NCAAW | 2011-2012 | 0.800 | #14/16 | 0.544 | 3942 | 0.250 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2010-2011 | 0.804 | #14/16 | 0.541 | 4019 | 0.375 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2009-2010 | 0.782 | #14/16 | 0.560 | 4042 | - |
| NCAAW | 2008-2009 | 0.793 | #14/16 | 0.553 | 4005 | 1.000 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2007-2008 | 0.801 | #14/16 | 0.545 | 4036 | 0.000 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2006-2007 | 0.795 | #15/16 | 0.552 | 3896 | 0.500 (6 g) |
| NCAAW | 2005-2006 | 0.781 | #15/16 | 0.563 | 4126 | - |
| NCAAW | 2004-2005 | 0.788 | #14/16 | 0.556 | 3807 | 0.667 (4 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2025-2026 | 0.778 | #10/11 | 0.566 | 3963 | - |
| NCAAMD3 | 2024-2025 | 0.763 | #10/11 | 0.578 | 4003 | - |
| NCAAMD3 | 2023-2024 | 0.774 | #10/11 | 0.569 | 4138 | 0.500 (6 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2022-2023 | 0.780 | #13/16 | 0.564 | 3688 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2021-2022 | 0.773 | #13/16 | 0.573 | 3282 | - |
| NCAAMD3 | 2020-2021 | - | - | - | 0 | - |
| NCAAMD3 | 2019-2020 | 0.776 | #10/16 | 0.569 | 3910 | 0.761 (58 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2018-2019 | 0.779 | #10/16 | 0.568 | 3741 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2017-2018 | - | - | - | 0 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2016-2017 | 0.761 | #10/16 | 0.581 | 3460 | - |
| NCAAMD3 | 2015-2016 | 0.739 | #13/16 | 0.599 | 2779 | - |
| NCAAMD3 | 2014-2015 | 0.765 | #10/16 | 0.578 | 2420 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2013-2014 | 0.793 | #10/16 | 0.552 | 3043 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| NCAAMD3 | 2012-2013 | - | - | - | 0 | - |
| NCAAMD2 | 2025-2026 | 0.763 | #10/11 | 0.579 | 3578 | - |
| NCAAMD2 | 2024-2025 | 0.725 | #10/11 | 0.612 | 3716 | 0.700 (7 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2023-2024 | 0.746 | #10/11 | 0.591 | 3510 | 1.000 (7 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2022-2023 | 0.755 | #10/16 | 0.583 | 3514 | 1.000 (7 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2021-2022 | 0.763 | #10/16 | 0.579 | 2881 | 0.583 (7 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2020-2021 | 0.724 | #14/16 | 0.621 | 1531 | 0.800 (8 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2019-2020 | 0.753 | #12/16 | 0.588 | 3556 | 0.811 (156 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2018-2019 | 0.763 | #13/16 | 0.580 | 3571 | 0.917 (7 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2017-2018 | - | - | - | 0 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2016-2017 | 0.768 | #10/16 | 0.576 | 3474 | 1.000 (5 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2015-2016 | 0.728 | #13/16 | 0.608 | 3259 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2014-2015 | 0.755 | #10/16 | 0.582 | 1991 | 0.833 (5 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2013-2014 | 0.736 | #13/16 | 0.609 | 1496 | 1.000 (7 g) |
| NCAAMD2 | 2012-2013 | - | - | - | 0 | - |
| NCAAM | 2025-2026 | 0.746 | #15/16 | 0.590 | 4785 | 0.667 (13 g) |
| NCAAM | 2024-2025 | 0.750 | #15/16 | 0.592 | 4786 | 0.486 (17 g) |
| NCAAM | 2023-2024 | 0.736 | #10/11 | 0.602 | 4710 | 0.750 (6 g) |
| NCAAM | 2022-2023 | 0.733 | #15/16 | 0.605 | 4632 | 0.889 (6 g) |
| NCAAM | 2021-2022 | 0.756 | #15/16 | 0.587 | 4445 | 0.500 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 2020-2021 | 0.720 | #14/16 | 0.613 | 3016 | 0.667 (5 g) |
| NCAAM | 2019-2020 | 0.744 | #14/16 | 0.597 | 4300 | 0.726 (261 g) |
| NCAAM | 2018-2019 | 0.746 | #15/16 | 0.591 | 4656 | 0.482 (11 g) |
| NCAAM | 2017-2018 | 0.751 | #15/16 | 0.589 | 4290 | 0.667 (11 g) |
| NCAAM | 2016-2017 | 0.759 | #15/16 | 0.586 | 4268 | 0.500 (11 g) |
| NCAAM | 2015-2016 | 0.755 | #15/16 | 0.588 | 4277 | 0.800 (12 g) |
| NCAAM | 2014-2015 | 0.755 | #14/16 | 0.589 | 4260 | 0.600 (10 g) |
| NCAAM | 2013-2014 | 0.749 | #15/16 | 0.594 | 4367 | 0.417 (11 g) |
| NCAAM | 2012-2013 | 0.760 | #15/16 | 0.582 | 4349 | 0.900 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 2011-2012 | 0.778 | #15/16 | 0.570 | 4500 | 0.800 (9 g) |
| NCAAM | 2010-2011 | 0.757 | #15/16 | 0.583 | 4488 | 0.300 (9 g) |
| NCAAM | 2009-2010 | 0.772 | #15/16 | 0.574 | 4479 | 0.875 (8 g) |
| NCAAM | 2008-2009 | 0.754 | #14/16 | 0.585 | 4483 | 0.750 (9 g) |
| NCAAM | 2007-2008 | 0.762 | #14/16 | 0.579 | 4478 | 0.594 (8 g) |
| NCAAM | 2006-2007 | 0.749 | #15/16 | 0.593 | 4342 | 0.750 (6 g) |
| NCAAM | 2005-2006 | 0.752 | #15/16 | 0.591 | 4309 | 0.667 (6 g) |
| NCAAM | 2004-2005 | 0.748 | #14/16 | 0.593 | 3964 | 0.444 (6 g) |
| NCAAM | 2003-2004 | 0.754 | #15/16 | 0.587 | 3911 | 0.800 (6 g) |
| NCAAM | 2002-2003 | 0.746 | #15/16 | 0.597 | 3929 | 0.250 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 2001-2002 | 0.748 | #15/16 | 0.592 | 3897 | 0.667 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 2000-2001 | 0.746 | #15/16 | 0.594 | 3825 | 0.750 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 1999-2000 | 0.760 | #14/16 | 0.583 | 3840 | 0.917 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 1998-1999 | 0.747 | #15/16 | 0.594 | 3712 | 0.833 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 1997-1998 | 0.743 | #15/16 | 0.597 | 3735 | 0.333 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 1996-1997 | 0.745 | #15/16 | 0.593 | 3600 | 0.417 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 1995-1996 | 0.740 | #15/16 | 0.599 | 3534 | 0.833 (7 g) |
| NCAAM | 1994-1995 | 0.752 | #15/16 | 0.587 | 3501 | 0.500 (5 g) |
| NCAAM | 1993-1994 | 0.755 | #15/16 | 0.582 | 3517 | 0.833 (5 g) |
| NCAAM | 1992-1993 | 0.750 | #15/16 | 0.591 | 3539 | 0.750 (5 g) |
| NCAAM | 1991-1992 | 0.759 | #15/16 | 0.586 | 3587 | 0.500 (5 g) |
| NCAAM | 1990-1991 | 0.745 | #15/16 | 0.595 | 3470 | 0.250 (5 g) |
| NCAAM | 1989-1990 | 0.760 | #15/16 | 0.582 | 3426 | - |
| NCAAM | 1988-1989 | 0.751 | #14/16 | 0.591 | 3423 | 0.333 (5 g) |
| NBA | 2025-2026 | 0.733 | #5/11 | 0.612 | 1130 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2024-2025 | 0.709 | #12/16 | 0.620 | 1117 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2023-2024 | 0.709 | #13/16 | 0.620 | 1171 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2022-2023 | 0.635 | #13/16 | 0.666 | 1162 | - |
| NBA | 2021-2022 | 0.685 | #10/16 | 0.643 | 1150 | - |
| NBA | 2020-2021 | 0.681 | #10/16 | 0.643 | 1012 | - |
| NBA | 2019-2020 | 0.681 | #12/16 | 0.632 | 955 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2018-2019 | 0.681 | #14/16 | 0.643 | 1146 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2017-2018 | 0.689 | #15/16 | 0.638 | 1136 | - |
| NBA | 2016-2017 | 0.666 | #13/16 | 0.648 | 1157 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2015-2016 | 0.726 | #14/16 | 0.612 | 1115 | - |
| NBA | 2014-2015 | 0.727 | #9/16 | 0.615 | 1153 | - |
| NBA | 2013-2014 | 0.702 | #15/16 | 0.631 | 1118 | - |
| NBA | 2012-2013 | 0.708 | #12/16 | 0.629 | 1145 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2011-2012 | 0.682 | #14/16 | 0.635 | 859 | - |
| NBA | 2010-2011 | 0.726 | #10/16 | 0.620 | 1118 | - |
| NBA | 2009-2010 | 0.713 | #13/16 | 0.626 | 1140 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2008-2009 | 0.740 | #10/16 | 0.610 | 1118 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2007-2008 | 0.717 | #14/16 | 0.620 | 1160 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2006-2007 | 0.648 | #15/16 | 0.656 | 1139 | - |
| NBA | 2005-2006 | 0.665 | #12/16 | 0.652 | 1164 | - |
| NBA | 2004-2005 | 0.701 | #13/16 | 0.633 | 1144 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2003-2004 | 0.685 | #12/16 | 0.644 | 1120 | - |
| NBA | 2002-2003 | 0.674 | #13/16 | 0.646 | 1084 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 2001-2002 | 0.674 | #9/16 | 0.649 | 1096 | - |
| NBA | 2000-2001 | 0.703 | #14/16 | 0.628 | 1069 | - |
| NBA | 1999-2000 | 0.708 | #13/16 | 0.622 | 1090 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 1998-1999 | 0.714 | #9/16 | 0.627 | 621 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 1997-1998 | 0.767 | #14/16 | 0.592 | 1087 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| NBA | 1996-1997 | 0.751 | #14/16 | 0.599 | 1104 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2025-2026 | 0.625 | #8/11 | 0.673 | 452 | 0.667 (4 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2024-2025 | 0.596 | #10/11 | 0.685 | 393 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2023-2024 | 0.628 | #6/11 | 0.663 | 378 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2022-2023 | 0.650 | #9/16 | 0.659 | 352 | 0.750 (6 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2021-2022 | 0.626 | #7/16 | 0.670 | 348 | - |
| GLEAGUE | 2020-2021 | 0.632 | #3/16 | 0.710 | 18 | 0.632 (18 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2019-2020 | 0.624 | #4/16 | 0.669 | 459 | 0.484 (34 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2018-2019 | 0.617 | #11/16 | 0.674 | 583 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2017-2018 | 0.572 | #10/16 | 0.692 | 510 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2016-2017 | 0.659 | #6/16 | 0.654 | 487 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2015-2016 | 0.668 | #5/16 | 0.652 | 430 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2014-2015 | 0.670 | #14/16 | 0.647 | 394 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2013-2014 | 0.583 | #15/16 | 0.690 | 372 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2012-2013 | 0.623 | #12/16 | 0.670 | 350 | - |
| GLEAGUE | 2011-2012 | 0.605 | #11/16 | 0.683 | 346 | 0.667 (4 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2010-2011 | 0.704 | #11/16 | 0.632 | 352 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2009-2010 | 0.681 | #14/16 | 0.635 | 344 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2008-2009 | 0.609 | #8/16 | 0.679 | 337 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2007-2008 | 0.709 | #12/16 | 0.625 | 299 | 0.750 (4 g) |
| GLEAGUE | 2006-2007 | 0.780 | #6/16 | 0.566 | 252 | - |
| GLEAGUE | 2005-2006 | 0.776 | #7/16 | 0.566 | 165 | - |
| GLEAGUE | 2004-2005 | 0.908 | #8/16 | 0.418 | 119 | 1.000 (8 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2026-2027 | 0.693 | #2/11 | 0.630 | 50 | 0.667 (10 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2025-2026 | 0.616 | #11/11 | 0.674 | 342 | 1.000 (3 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2024-2025 | 0.649 | #10/11 | 0.649 | 285 | 0.250 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2023-2024 | 0.671 | #10/11 | 0.647 | 287 | 0.333 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2022-2023 | 0.601 | #14/16 | 0.680 | 283 | 0.333 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2021-2022 | 0.640 | #10/16 | 0.666 | 254 | 0.333 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2020-2021 | 0.636 | #15/16 | 0.659 | 290 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2019-2020 | 0.698 | #14/16 | 0.634 | 216 | 0.661 (18 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2018-2019 | 0.753 | #10/16 | 0.598 | 220 | - |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2017-2018 | 0.643 | #15/16 | 0.668 | 220 | 0.250 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2016-2017 | 0.656 | #13/16 | 0.658 | 219 | 0.000 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2015-2016 | 0.668 | #13/16 | 0.653 | 202 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2014-2015 | 0.721 | #15/16 | 0.616 | 203 | 0.000 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2013-2014 | 0.718 | #15/16 | 0.618 | 205 | 0.333 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2012-2013 | 0.713 | #15/16 | 0.619 | 205 | - |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2011-2012 | 0.754 | #12/16 | 0.588 | 152 | 0.000 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2010-2011 | 0.658 | #13/16 | 0.658 | 153 | 0.750 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2009-2010 | 0.715 | #13/16 | 0.614 | 152 | - |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2008-2009 | 0.715 | #13/16 | 0.610 | 152 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| EUROLEAGUE | 2007-2008 | 0.721 | #9/16 | 0.609 | 195 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2026-2027 | 0.803 | #6/11 | 0.542 | 48 | 0.984 (16 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2025-2026 | 0.728 | #1/11 | 0.612 | 161 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2024-2025 | 0.704 | #4/11 | 0.653 | 156 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2023-2024 | 0.740 | #5/11 | 0.593 | 156 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2022-2023 | 0.692 | #15/16 | 0.635 | 155 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2021-2022 | 0.657 | #13/16 | 0.652 | 149 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2020-2021 | 0.717 | #6/16 | 0.604 | 140 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2019-2020 | 0.558 | #14/16 | 0.695 | 120 | 0.533 (8 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2018-2019 | 0.757 | #9/16 | 0.601 | 150 | 0.500 (3 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2017-2018 | 0.745 | #9/16 | 0.599 | 136 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2016-2017 | 0.707 | #12/16 | 0.616 | 114 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2015-2016 | 0.667 | #11/16 | 0.672 | 226 | 0.500 (2 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2014-2015 | 0.679 | #15/16 | 0.643 | 226 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2013-2014 | 0.601 | #14/16 | 0.703 | 262 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2012-2013 | 0.590 | #4/16 | 0.687 | 93 | - |
| EUROCUP | 2011-2012 | 0.676 | #12/16 | 0.643 | 92 | 0.000 (4 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2010-2011 | 0.606 | #16/16 | 0.687 | 93 | 1.000 (4 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2009-2010 | 0.589 | #13/16 | 0.688 | 92 | 0.667 (4 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2008-2009 | 0.681 | #11/16 | 0.643 | 102 | 0.417 (7 g) |
| EUROCUP | 2007-2008 | 0.735 | #9/16 | 0.606 | 245 | 0.938 (8 g) |