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Team model

AP Poll

Human ranking baseline for games involving a ranked team.

Status implemented Short Name AP
Rating Style rank Where Shown model performance

Model Card

AP Poll comparison baseline for D1 NCAA only. It is treated as an ordinal ranking signal, not a calibrated probability model. On validation pages it only appears in the ranked-games scope, where every model is re-evaluated on games involving at least one ranked team.

Validation on this page uses stored season-level full-fit rows plus strict weekly rolling holdouts. Rolling ranks are based on average weekly log loss in the selected league/season. Current scope: Ranked Games. Only games where at least one team had an AP Poll rank on game day. All models are re-evaluated on that same subset, and AP Poll joins the comparison set here.