Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +40 (103-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Weathers | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -14.8 |
| D. Collins | 28 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | -18.0 |
| J. Timmons | 27 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | -27.4 |
| N. Jones | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -24.8 |
| A. Austin | 22 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -15.9 |
| T. Scott | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -4.8 |
| E. Cody | 15 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -3.4 |
| L. Da Silva Costa | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| A. Ramsey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9.9 |
| T. Chambers | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.2 |
| W. Jennings | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -15.1 |
| J. Egbuna | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| L. Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| R. Douglas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Richard | 28 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +30.2 |
| M. Fulwiley | 26 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +30.6 |
| M. Williams | 25 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +19.4 |
| A. Joyner | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +26.8 |
| Z. Johnson | 22 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | +25.6 |
| F. Johnson | 21 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +13.8 |
| G. Knox | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +12.7 |
| B. Hines | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +18.4 |
| K. Koval | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -0.7 |
| D. Bourrage | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.6 |
| M. Yarnevich | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +9.0 |
* = starter