Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | +18.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +19.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +18 (87-69). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Clark * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -6.6 |
| Tyler Thompson * | 38 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Jalen Brown * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | -8.9 |
| Connor Dick * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Clayton Mpiana * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | +11.1 |
| Semaj Carter | 16 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -6.9 |
| LoLo Rudolph | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.3 |
| Josiah Sanders | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -13.0 |
| Noah Bendinger | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Garret Dutro | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +0.9 |
| Fred Payne * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +8.2 |
| Andrew Meadow * | 27 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Malique Ewin * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | +10.6 |
| T.B. Bowen * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Wei Lin | 18 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jasper Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Tajh Ariza | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +4.2 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Jerry Easter II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Seven Spurlock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter