Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | +25.3 | ✓ (24.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +13.2 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +1 (96-95). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Konieczny * | 42 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Turk Brown III * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +9.3 |
| Justin Houser * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +4.0 |
| Bryson Lucas * | 30 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | +5.4 |
| Darren Williams * | 28 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Matt McCarthy | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.3 |
| BB Washington | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| CJ Outlaw | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Gabe Tanner | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| George Washington III | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +5.1 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dior Johnson * | 35 | 13-15 | 4-4 | 11-15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 29 | +0.3 |
| John Bol * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Cayden Vasko * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Isaiah Malone * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +15.6 |
| Riley Kugel * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lewis Walker | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Arturo Dean | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -2.1 |
| Mister Dean | 11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -12.6 |
| Elijah Hulsewe | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jason Asemota | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Jahda Swann | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Churchill Abass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.4 |
* = starter