Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | +17.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +12.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +10 (75-65). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward * | 37 | 10-23 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 8 | +9.4 |
| Jayden Cooper * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Marqus Marion * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Tyran Mason * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Kendall Campbell * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +5.2 |
| Trevor Hennig | 25 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Maki Johnson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Elton Smith | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Colt Busse | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Maddox Huff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell * | 40 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -0.3 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 11-12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Dillan Shaw * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Ben Defty * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -12.1 |
| JRob Croy | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Filip Malesevic | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +10.7 |
| Bryce Ford | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Garcia | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Vijay Wallace | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Ajak Nyuon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter