Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | +9.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -2 (72-74). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry * | 36 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ethan Roberts * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Braeden Smith * | 31 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 10-11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Brady Koehler * | 25 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Logan Duncomb * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Logan Imes | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tommy Ahneman | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Sanderson | 10 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Yoro Diallo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bryce Dortch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devin Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Fiegen * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Perkins * | 35 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Devin Royal * | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Luigi Suigo * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Darryl Simmons II * | 15 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Elijah Crawford | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Adam Oumiddoch | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
* = starter