Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 38 | 7-21 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jordin Canada * | 38 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 19 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 13-13 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 38 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | - | - | |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 35 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pauline Astier * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marine Fauthoux | 31 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Xu Han | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marine Johannes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter