Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Golden State Valkyries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Valkyries +2 (83-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| A'ja Wilson * | 36 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jackie Young * | 36 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kalani Brown | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dana Evans | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mai Yamamoto | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justine Pissott | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kierstan Bell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Thornton * | 30 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gabby Williams * | 29 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kiah Stokes * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Veronica Burton * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cecilia Zandalasini * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kaila Charles | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Hayes | 16 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Aminata Gueye | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kaitlyn Chen | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Janelle Salaun | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter