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2026-10-04

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Margin 32.6% 67.4% +4.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Valkyries +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackie Young * 38 4-15 3-7 0-0 4 5 3 0 11 - -
Chelsea Gray * 36 5-14 3-6 3-4 4 3 1 0 16 - -
A'ja Wilson * 35 8-21 0-2 8-11 4 0 1 0 24 - -
Brianna Turner * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 - -
Jewell Loyd * 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Kierstan Bell 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 3 - -
Mai Yamamoto 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 - -
Kalani Brown 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Justine Pissott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kayla Thornton * 34 3-9 1-5 1-2 11 1 0 0 8 - -
Gabby Williams * 33 9-18 4-7 3-3 11 5 0 0 25 - -
Kiah Stokes * 27 0-3 0-2 0-0 14 2 0 4 0 - -
Cecilia Zandalasini * 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Veronica Burton * 17 1-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Kaitlyn Chen 22 4-11 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 11 - -
Kaila Charles 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Aminata Gueye 12 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 2 1 9 - -
Tiffany Hayes 11 1-4 0-2 1-4 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Janelle Salaun 5 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter