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2026-10-04

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +10 (92-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 40 6-13 1-3 6-6 2 3 3 3 19 - -
Leonie Fiebich * 35 3-7 3-5 0-0 7 3 0 0 9 - -
Sabrina Ionescu * 33 10-20 3-8 4-4 4 1 0 0 27 - -
Jonquel Jones * 31 4-9 2-4 2-2 11 4 1 5 12 - -
Pauline Astier * 21 4-7 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Marine Fauthoux 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Marine Johannes 9 0-2 0-1 3-3 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Xu Han 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Rebecca Allen 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Rebekah Gardner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rhyne Howard * 40 5-20 1-8 5-6 8 8 1 0 16 - -
Naz Hillmon * 36 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 - -
Angel Reese * 33 6-10 1-1 4-6 7 2 4 3 17 - -
Jordin Canada * 31 9-14 4-6 3-3 1 4 5 1 25 - -
Allisha Gray * 10 1-5 1-3 4-5 1 0 1 0 7 - -
DeWanna Bonner 30 10-18 3-6 0-1 9 2 2 0 23 - -
Isobel Borlase 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Te-Hina Paopao 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Madina Okot 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter