Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -16 (75-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 37 | 11-18 | 2-3 | 10-12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 34 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Pauline Astier * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 28 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Xu Han | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rebekah Gardner | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marine Johannes | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rebecca Allen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marine Fauthoux | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anneli Maley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Raquel Carrera | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Napheesa Collier * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Olivia Miles * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Natasha Howard * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nia Brodie | 18 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maya Caldwell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dorka Juhasz | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chloe Bibby | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Antonia Delaere | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aari McDonald | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter