Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.8% | 17.2% | -19.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.9% | 12.1% | -21.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 97.6% | 2.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -28 (63-91). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe Mesuch * | 29 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Zanai Barnett-Gay * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Julianna Almeida * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Mary Gibbons * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Lizzie Holder * | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Christina Liggio | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Isa Grant | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Saran Moschella | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Rhyne | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Quinn Boettinger | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sidney Quinn | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Grace Minihane | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nia Henley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Saric * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -13.4 |
| Alana Powell * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Lenora Nkangwen * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Nyodie Guerard * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Eva Andrews * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | -12.6 |
| Kiyla Fowler | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -21.4 |
| Jayla Koser | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | -5.7 |
| Thelma Barbitch | 15 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.5 |
| Wesleigh Ferguson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Karmen McDuffie | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Rachael Chilicki | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
* = starter