Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | -2.5 | ✓ (27.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.9% | 22.1% | -13.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers -30 (64-94). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon * | 28 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Brigham Rogers * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +17.3 |
| Talis Soulhac * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +13.3 |
| Brayden Shorter * | 21 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Lachlan Crate * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +13.3 |
| Kaden Magwood | 18 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Christian Jones | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | +8.0 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Mathis Courbon | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jonas Boulefaa | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +7.1 |
| Shon Tupuola | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Pavle Nikolic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Dillon Butler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Navon Shabazz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty-Laur Johnson * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -12.7 |
| Deondrea Lindsey * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -22.6 |
| Aaron Bradshaw * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2 | -9.6 |
| Arterio Morris * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -8.8 |
| Christian Alston * | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Jayden Jones | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kavien Jones | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -7.0 |
| Presley Patterson | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -9.5 |
| Maddux Bodenhamer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Daniel Vieira-Tuck | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4.0 |
| Ajayi Simmons | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.9 |
* = starter