Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | +17.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +23.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +31 (102-71). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Sanders * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Grant Best * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | -19.5 |
| Caleb Walker * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Lucas Hobin * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Martin * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.8 |
| A.J. Patterson | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Wesley Celichowski | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.3 |
| Eli Robinson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6.6 |
| Josh Gatete | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Justin Hinds | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Riley Dering | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kolby Gilles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Pangonis * | 32 | 9-10 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 31 | - |
| Chadlyn Traylor * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +16.8 |
| Kellen Pickett * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C.J. O'Hara * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +10.8 |
| Andrea Holden * | 19 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Ilija Milijasevic | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +5.9 |
| Noah Lewis | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 20 | +8.8 |
| Isaiah Williams | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +4.5 |
| Nikola Djapa | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.5 |
| PJ Douglas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Terrence Hayes Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Sam Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter