Model Predictions
| Model | NJIT Highlanders | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | +16.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +23.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +31 (89-58). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
NJIT Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheo Coffi * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -13.1 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -23.2 |
| Victor Vanderstraeten * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -20.2 |
| David Bolden * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Stores Jr. * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -10.9 |
| John Kelly | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Rocco Awad | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Oliver | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Quentin Duncan | 15 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| AJ Altobelli | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Jayonni Durrough | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Derkack * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | +9.6 |
| Grant Randall * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +8.7 |
| Amal L'Etang * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-5 | 8-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | +13.5 |
| Zaide Lowery * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +19.2 |
| Travis Perry * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | +17.6 |
| Tristian Ford | 28 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Landen Joseph | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Jaiun Simon | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Malcolm Thomas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Damon Friery | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Julian Washington | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Cody Peck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Evan Dickey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Jaron McKie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
* = starter