Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts Minutemen | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | +6.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -11 (60-71). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Clayton * | 35 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +15.2 |
| Danny Carbuccia * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Junjie Wang * | 31 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +13.0 |
| Abdullah Ahmed * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Noa Zemljić | 15 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Cheick Sylla | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +5.8 |
| Dimitri Clerc | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Christian Martin | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.2 |
| Heimir Helgason | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Rollie Castineyra | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Oday * | 36 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | -8.2 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -19.1 |
| Robert Davis Jr. * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -17.8 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -16.3 |
| Kerrington Kiel * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -15.6 |
| Cau Pacheco | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +7.2 |
| Caden Diggs | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Sam Walters | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Willie Piggott Jr. | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Evan Griffin | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter