Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | +26.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +24.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 0.4% | 99.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +22 (87-65). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Simpson * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Antoine Almuttar * | 28 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7.2 |
| Isaiah Vick * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -6.9 |
| Nathan Ojukwu * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -19.6 |
| Kordrick Turner * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Arne Osojnik | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Doyle Brown | 19 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Jayden Nesbitt | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Dionjahe Thomas | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Armon Almuttar | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Cam Kelly | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Boogii Remo | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo * | 28 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Brett Decker Jr. * | 24 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +5.4 |
| Dylan Mingo * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -0.9 |
| Elijah Williams * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +12.9 |
| Juslin Bodo Bodo * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Isaac Celiscar | 23 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Isaac Williams IV | 23 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Evan Chatman | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Caden Powell | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Mayo Soyoye | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Drew Perry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Goodis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Andre Iguodala II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Maikcol Perez | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter