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Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Portland Fire Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - ✗
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +1.4 ✗ (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - ✗

Actual: Portland Fire -10 (75-85). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Nneka Ogwumike * 20 5-9 2-3 5-7 4 5 1 0 0 17 18 -
Dearica Hamby * 19 4-5 0-0 5-6 4 2 2 0 2 13 14 -
Kelsey Plum * 18 3-7 2-2 5-5 1 4 0 0 2 13 9 -
Rae Burrell * 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 4 3 -
Ariel Atkins * 17 1-4 1-2 1-2 2 3 1 1 1 4 6 -
Ta'Niya Latson 14 2-5 0-2 3-6 1 2 0 0 4 7 1 -
Chance Gray 13 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
Cameron Brink 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 4 0 0 -
Erica Wheeler 11 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 6 3 -
Sevgi Uzun 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Laura Ziegler 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
Jihyun 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Sania Feagin 10 2-3 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
Julie Vanloo 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Emma Cannon 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

Portland Fire

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Bridget Carleton * 25 3-8 1-5 2-4 1 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
Nyadiew Puoch * 23 4-5 2-3 2-4 1 2 1 0 0 12 11 -
Carla Leite * 22 4-6 1-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 4 11 6 -
Haley Jones * 21 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 8 3 -
Luisa Geiselsoder * 21 2-6 0-2 3-3 6 0 0 1 4 7 4 -
F. Bühner 21 1-6 0-3 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Serah Williams 19 3-6 0-0 6-8 8 1 2 1 3 12 15 -
Jordan Harrison 18 2-5 0-1 5-5 3 4 1 0 4 9 8 -
Chloe Bibby 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Maya Caldwell 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 2 3 -

* = starter