Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +17 (101-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jackie Young | 25 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chennedy Carter | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Turner | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Obi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 22 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 22 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Fudd | 21 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. James | 17 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Okonkwo | 10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Grace Berger | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Li Yueru | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Verona | 4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Marshall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter