๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2026-05-03

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.5 โœ“ (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings +17 (101-84). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
NaLyssa Smith * 25 3-6 0-1 3-8 4 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
Jackie Young * 25 7-13 1-4 1-2 0 3 0 0 1 16 5 -
A'ja Wilson * 23 5-9 0-1 8-13 5 1 1 1 4 18 13 -
Chelsea Gray * 22 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 10 7 -
Stephanie Talbot * 19 2-6 1-2 3-3 1 1 2 0 2 8 4 -
Jewell Loyd 28 2-6 0-2 5-6 6 0 4 0 2 9 11 -
Kierstan Bell 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
Chennedy Carter 16 2-7 0-3 1-2 0 2 0 2 0 5 2 -
Brianna Turner 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus 11 1-1 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 2 4 7 -
J. Obi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maddy Siegrist * 22 7-10 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 14 9 -
Paige Bueckers * 22 4-9 1-1 2-2 4 9 1 0 0 11 16 -
Azzi Fudd * 21 4-10 1-5 3-4 0 1 0 0 1 12 2 -
Odyssey Sims * 16 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 5 2 -
Alanna Smith * 12 5-6 2-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 12 13 -
Alysha Clark 18 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
Aziaha James 17 6-13 2-5 4-7 4 2 2 1 3 18 11 -
Jessica Shepard 17 2-2 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 0 0 6 11 -
JJ Quinerly 11 1-3 1-1 4-4 3 3 1 0 3 7 8 -
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Amy Okonkwo 10 2-5 1-4 3-3 3 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
Grace Berger 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
Li Yueru 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Lindsay Allen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Costanza Verona 4 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -3 -
Rayah Marshall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter