Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +25 (66-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Martin | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Fayta | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Washington | 24 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Nelson | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Pratt | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Finnegan | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Hurt | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Austin | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Fenske | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bruno | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Ilderton | 32 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Timaya Lewis-Eutsey | 30 | 12-17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| T. Yeast | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Maier | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. King | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Chesterfield | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Marigney | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Ingram | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Redman | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Williams | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter