Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +13 (66-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Yanez | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jade Tillman | 30 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Heidi Williams | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Delaney Yarborough | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tiara Bellamy | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kennedy Austin | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dagny Slomack | 13 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Gabby Scott | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Ilderton | 37 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Timaya Lewis-Eutsey | 32 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| T. Yeast | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Marigney | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Maier | 22 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Ingram | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. King | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - |
| N. Chesterfield | 11 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Redman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter