Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +2 (57-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Elliott | 38 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +2.3 |
| McKinna Brackens | 34 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Marley Washenitz | 28 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Heloisa Carrera | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +1.5 |
| L. Poa | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Jyah LoVett | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Deborah Davenport | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Amaya Williams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Martina Fantini | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Makayla Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson | 39 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 5-8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +6.4 |
| Paris Clark | 33 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Caitlin Weimar | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 22 | +8.0 |
| Romi Levy | 30 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Sa'Myah Smith | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Tabitha Amanze | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Breona Hurd | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Jillian Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +4.6 |
| Gabby White | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.5 |
| Adeang Ring | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter