Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +22 (88-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Skunberg | 35 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| L. Wolf | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Coleman | 29 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Ty Pence | 27 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Walker | 22 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Kinziger | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Klabo | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Lieb | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hall | 38 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| K. Overton | 32 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Pettiford | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| F. Jović | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| E. Freeman | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Williams-Adams | 24 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Magwood | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Trapp | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| CJ Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter