Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 40 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| L. Wolf | 30 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 29 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ty Pence | 27 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| M. Klabo | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Walker | 17 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Moore | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Coleman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lieb | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harris | 39 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| O. Biliew | 32 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| T. Spillers | 29 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| M. Colvin | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Calmese | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Mason | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Schwieger | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| I. Carr | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Akins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter