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2026-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kinziger 40 6-14 5-10 2-2 3 5 2 0 2 19 13 -
L. Wolf 30 3-10 2-8 0-2 4 2 0 0 1 8 3 -
B. Skunberg 29 2-9 0-5 3-4 9 2 0 0 0 7 9 -
Ty Pence 27 8-11 3-4 4-4 4 1 2 0 1 23 18 -
M. Klabo 22 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. Walker 17 5-11 0-2 5-5 4 1 2 1 2 15 10 -
L. Moore 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Coleman 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Lieb 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harris 39 7-19 2-7 4-6 8 4 1 0 1 20 13 -
O. Biliew 32 3-3 1-1 4-4 6 0 1 3 0 11 18 -
T. Spillers 29 11-11 0-0 2-3 8 1 1 1 2 24 22 -
M. Colvin 25 3-7 1-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 10 7 -
N. Calmese 21 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Mason 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
C. Schwieger 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 2 -3 -
I. Carr 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
S. Akins 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter