Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williamson | 32 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| C. Medley | 32 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Safford | 31 | 7-14 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| D. Gillespie | 26 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Whaley Jr. | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Q. Woidke | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Briscoe | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Griffith | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Entenmann | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Moss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 33 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| L. Wolf | 26 | 8-14 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| M. Klabo | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Coleman | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Walker | 23 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Ty Pence | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Moore | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| B. Lieb | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| J. Daugherty | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ty Blake | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter