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2026-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Kent State Golden Flashes Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% -
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Williamson 32 4-13 3-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 -1 -
C. Medley 32 1-6 1-2 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 3 4 -
M. Safford 31 7-14 2-8 3-3 4 3 1 0 0 19 13 -
D. Gillespie 26 2-12 0-2 1-2 15 2 0 0 2 5 8 -
R. Whaley Jr. 25 5-9 1-2 2-3 3 4 1 1 1 13 12 -
Q. Woidke 18 0-4 0-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Briscoe 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
R. Griffith 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Entenmann 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Moss 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kinziger 33 3-8 2-6 3-4 3 7 2 0 0 11 15 -
L. Wolf 26 8-14 5-11 3-3 7 0 1 0 0 24 18 -
M. Klabo 24 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 5 8 -
T. Coleman 24 4-10 1-3 1-2 2 2 2 1 1 10 6 -
B. Skunberg 23 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
C. Walker 23 8-11 2-3 1-3 7 3 1 0 1 19 18 -
Ty Pence 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
L. Moore 15 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 1 4 -
B. Lieb 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 2 0 1 7 -
J. Daugherty 2 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Ty Blake 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter