Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | -2.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars -17 (64-81). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susie Rafiu * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Riley Weiss * | 33 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +15.1 |
| Mia Broom * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 17 | +8.5 |
| Hilke Feldrappe * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +5.8 |
| Perri Page * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +18.3 |
| Nasi Simmons | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Eirny Erinugha | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Marta Jaama | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Blau Tor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Alicia Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Gibb * | 38 | 11-26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 14 | -5.4 |
| Kambree Barber * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -2.7 |
| Lara Rohkohl * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | -1.9 |
| Brinley Cannon * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -10.9 |
| Sydney Benally * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -4.4 |
| Olivia Hamlin | 31 | 6-19 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Bolanle Yussuf | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Arielle Mackey-Williams | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Braeden Gunlock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.7 |
* = starter